Rothenberg Political Report: Governor rankings for 2007-08 (user search)
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  Rothenberg Political Report: Governor rankings for 2007-08 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Rothenberg Political Report: Governor rankings for 2007-08  (Read 4114 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: June 15, 2007, 12:39:44 PM »

Looks right, although I'm not sure why Minner's seat is considered safer than Easley's. (I'd put NC at Safe and Delaware at Likely.)
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: June 15, 2007, 03:32:16 PM »

Looks right, although I'm not sure why Minner's seat is considered safer than Easley's. (I'd put NC at Safe and Delaware at Likely.)

I'm pretty sure an open seat in North Carolina shouldn't be labeled as "Safe Democrat."  I agree with you about moving DE back to the likely Democrat category -- Republicans did surprisingly well there in 2004.

The North Carolina Republicans have no credible candidate while the Democrats have two, and Democrats are overwhelmingly dominant at the state level in North Carolina anyway. That sounds like a Safe Democratic seat to me.
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