Sooo... what happened in the 2008 Democratic NH primary? (user search)
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  Sooo... what happened in the 2008 Democratic NH primary? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sooo... what happened in the 2008 Democratic NH primary?  (Read 2729 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
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Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: June 15, 2008, 07:40:16 AM »

They also chronically overestimated the youth vote and underestimated the impact of blue collar voters in the cities and along the MA border.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: June 15, 2008, 08:14:08 AM »
« Edited: June 15, 2008, 08:22:41 AM by Fmr Gov. Polnut »

I think someone either the media or polling led the other astray.

The big idea was that this big college vote was going to help Obama. I think the polling firms believed it, and oversampled the college-aged vote. When the college vote didn't turnout as expected - then add the undecided push to Hillary from Sat. on. It kinda makes sense. I think the Obama was softer than thought.

So I think Obama lost some of his people in the post Sat undecided push, add that to mix, so it really starts to add up.
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