absentee/early vote thread, part 2 (user search)
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  absentee/early vote thread, part 2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: absentee/early vote thread, part 2  (Read 114579 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #25 on: November 06, 2016, 09:36:53 PM »

I haven't check or anything so I could be wrong, but a lot of areas that got hit hard by Matthew were eastern black areas in NC. Could that have cause polling places to be reduce in them areas for EV? And if so on election day could we see a them just vote on that day?

I think that's the issue.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #26 on: November 07, 2016, 04:50:55 AM »

One thing that makes me sceptical of the seemingly good EV results for dems in NV, FL and CO, is that you would think that this would be reflected in polls. If lots of low propensity voters were showing up for Clinton, that should make polls move rather dramatically in Clintons direction because pollsters usually ask people if they have already voted. Instead, what the polls seem to be saying is that Clinton has a huge advantage with early voters, but that this is countered by an equally big Trump advantage amongst expected election day voters.

I guess I am just very cautious about concluding anything based on what we have seen so far. The only thing I think I will conclude is that we are not in for a Trump landslide, but that has been clear since the beginning.

Better than your usual outright doom and gloom. You're missing a few key points...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #27 on: November 07, 2016, 06:15:53 AM »

Well, if there are long lines of older or middle-aged white people on CNN tomorrow it should be good news for Trump.

If not, good news for Hillary.

I imagine seeing long lines of old white people in Little Havana would be of concern.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #28 on: November 07, 2016, 07:08:14 PM »

https://twitter.com/MagellanStrat/status/795778298165035008

David Flaherty
‏@MagellanStrat
Magellan Colorado Ballots Returned Report 4pm update http://buff.ly/2fxBpjJ  Rep lead over Dems in ballots returned now 15,289 #copolitics

That's 35.0% Republican, 34.3% Democrat and 29.2% unaffiliated.

CO still looking good Smiley
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