FiveThirtyEight Demographic Calculator Revisited: Can you make Trump win? (user search)
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  FiveThirtyEight Demographic Calculator Revisited: Can you make Trump win? (search mode)
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Author Topic: FiveThirtyEight Demographic Calculator Revisited: Can you make Trump win?  (Read 7587 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: May 07, 2016, 11:38:46 PM »

College educated whites: Trump 52% - 75% turnout
Non-college whites: Trump 65% - 58% turnout
AA vote: Clinton 91% - 66% turnout
Latino: Clinton 77% - 54% turnout
Asian/others: Clinton 78% - 58% turnout

Outcome - Clinton 347 EV - 54.1% - Trump 191 EV - 44.2%

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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2016, 11:52:01 PM »

Whenever I try to get Trump over 270, the closest win comes from picking up FL, IA, OH, WI, and NH.


No, you said it!!! TNVolunteer's spidey senses are tingling
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