If Rubio wins or does extremely well tomorrow, how does the race go from here? (user search)
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  If Rubio wins or does extremely well tomorrow, how does the race go from here? (search mode)
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Author Topic: If Rubio wins or does extremely well tomorrow, how does the race go from here?  (Read 1055 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: February 19, 2016, 08:48:00 PM »

Bush and Kasich likely drop out and it becomes a three-way race and it probably becomes intensely ugly.

EDIT: jfern is right
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2016, 12:21:29 AM »

I disagree that it would be Rubio v Trump. Cruz still has a strong following should do very well in the South. There would be no reason for him to leave the race until probably late March.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2016, 01:11:44 AM »

I disagree that it would be Rubio v Trump. Cruz still has a strong following should do very well in the South. There would be no reason for him to leave the race until probably late March.

Why would we expect Cruz to do well across the rest of the South if he's <20% in SC? At this point TX + a few western caucuses looks like the best that he can do. That's plausibly enough delegates to matter in a close race, I guess, but his campaign is clearly sinking under the weight of its candidate's glaring weaknesses. Cruz is not the kind of candidate who gets a "second look."

Frankly, because SC is not as indicative of the Southern vote as it is for the Democrats.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2016, 02:03:16 AM »

It's amazing to me that a guy who had a horrible gaffe and then finished 5th in New Hampshire is now surging once again off the backs of the media. He did nothing to change my opinion of him between then and now.

This GOP race is just bizarre... the ups and down and peaks and valleys. The Democratic race makes sense to me, this is... I can't.
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