Quinnipiac: Obama DOMINATING in OH & FL (user search)
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  Quinnipiac: Obama DOMINATING in OH & FL (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Obama DOMINATING in OH & FL  (Read 3125 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: September 26, 2012, 12:46:19 AM »

I don't know.... I'd love to believe it... but 9 &10% leads in those states... ugh
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2012, 08:52:41 AM »

Alright... I'd like a non-hack thought process on how these polls and every other national poll EXCEPT Ras and Gallup are telling the same story... basically NONE of the state polling makes sense with Ras and Gallup
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2012, 09:00:10 AM »

This is my point - the state polling and most of the national polling is suggesting this collapse, but it's not being shown to a large extent on Gallup and not at all on Ras...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #3 on: September 26, 2012, 05:53:42 PM »

Looking at the rest of the FL polls, Quinnipaic could be either an outlier or they have a really skewed sampling.

PPP, M-D, have it closer, outside of the MOE.

Skewed you say!!
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #4 on: September 26, 2012, 07:57:25 PM »

FTR, I don't believe the FL number...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2012, 10:43:42 PM »

Don't understand why you just assume the 47 percent was a blip instead of a seminal moment in the campaign. Problem for Romney is that video seems to have just reinforced concerns about him many voters had already, and crystalized $50 million of summer  attack ads from Obama over Bain, etc, etc. Again, think polls will tighten, but not so sure -- especially less than 6 weeks before the election - that the 47 percent thing should just be viewed as a blip that will work itself out of the polls in a few days. Could be wrong, but sort of seems that the polls are sort of stabilizing.

I wasn't on Rasmussen, though it had an effect.  Libya was suppose to a "seminal moment," a week before, but Romney improved.



I think the Libya thing wasn't a foundational shock... I think the 47% numbers were.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #6 on: September 26, 2012, 10:49:38 PM »

Just a question... do you contribute anything useful?
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