Do you doubt that Palin will be the nominee?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I most certainly do.

As I think I've commented previously, Palin's support is strong and loud but very narrow, basically an inch wide and a mile-deep kinda thing.

2008 for the Dems, while not pretty, wasn't especially bloody, largely because that wasn't  'soul searching' Clinton and Obama pretty much agreed on everything and the only thing different was the salesperson and delivery.

The Republicans are essentially divergent warring tribes held together by their dislike to hatred of Obama.

I have the distinct impression the 2012 Republican Primary is going to make the 2008 Dem one look like a Children's Birthday Party.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

That worked for Huckabee didn't it?

I really think you'll have a lot of moderate (ie less fruit-cakey) Republicans who know that the religious-right's candidate will do well in IA and SC... however, the likely winner in NH, will probably also win MI which creates the said divide. A moderate Republican (who frankly is who they need to beat Obama) who can win the primaries in NH, MI, CA, NY, FL(?), and across the Mid-West is a much wiser choice than running to the extreme right...

The Rep nominee has to win somewhere outside of the south to get the nomination... Palin might be competition for Romney in the upper plains and the Mountain West, but she will get slaughtered on the coasts and in the mid-West.

If Thune and Pawlenty get into the race, that creates a whole new dynamic.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

And anyone with TP support will be flattened in the GE... so my suggestion to the Reps - find yourself a moderate (even if quietly so), Mid Westerner... sober moderation can beat Obama... far-right fervour will not.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

And anyone with TP support will be flattened in the GE... so my suggestion to the Reps - find yourself a moderate (even if quietly so), Mid Westerner... sober moderation can beat Obama... far-right fervour will not.

So, in short, nominate Daniels?

Pretty much... the only credible Rep out there that really worries me.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

We should let Rubio purposefully lose this election to Crist and run him in the general.  I doubt Palin will be the nominee, but if she is I'd happily vote for her. 

I doubt Obama is going to be running for a second term with Michelle on his case.  She's planning to go on another $2 million spending spree to punish him and apparently hes been removing his wedding ring and they've been having fights.  Theres some serious truth to all the rumors flying about from Bob Woodward to Carla Bruni and that is going to be devastating to his presidency.  Some other rumors: He's not happy with the presidency himself and apparently hes obsessed with watching Fox News and keeping an eye on Hillary who he doesn't trust.

I say we get a surprise after the midterms: He waits until Junish or so to announce he's not running for reelection in 2012.  Michelle wants out and I think he does too.

Then democrats can have the candidate they really wanted in the first place: Hillary Clinton.

That really is all kinds of special... did you know that Glen Beck has found communist propaganda at Rockefeller Centre?