Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[wesmoorenerd]

People are reading way too much into this, imo. People are acting like whatever the swing is is disastrous for Democrats. Why are people reading so far into a completely irrelevant special election that nobody thought was competitive? Turnout was absolutely abysmal so it's not like this is an accurate sample of how Democrats will be doing this November. Compare that to a race like AZ-08, which had good turnout and actual media attention. This is some Peak Atlas s*it right here, acting like the blue wave is dead because the Dems barely swung a low turnout, low media attention special in Texas.

[wesmoorenerd]

I had not read the post two posts above mine when I wrote “absolutely abysmal.”

Great minds think alike, ya know

[wesmoorenerd]

I mean, it would be fair to take from this result some pessimism on Beto O'Rourke's chances, given that he'd need some kind of major shift in Texas voting patterns that might be unexpected Hispanic turnout which didn't show up here.

Well, given that O'Rourke never had a shot at winning in the first place, this really isn't news.

Lmao he's down 5 in the latest poll. If being down 5 means you have no shot then we might as well call WV, MT, and MO Safe D at this point.

[wesmoorenerd]

How’s the Jim Jodrdan scandal playing in the district? Could this give Balderson an opening?

A scandal involving a rep from another district is going to have pretty much no effect on this district. Also, even if it did have an effect, I fail to see how Balderson would receive any benefit from it.