auburntiger
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,233
Political Matrix
E: -2.61, S: 0.65
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« on: January 11, 2012, 12:43:53 PM » |
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Republicans won't make the same mistake and take NC for granted, same with Indiana.
It will be a VERY interesting dynamic in NC with the DNC, combined with an unpopular governor, and a redistricting nightmare for Dems.
I'm not saying that Obama won't win here again, given the state will be about 4 points to the right of the national average, down from 7. But, as mentioned above, the state politics could be a factor. 2008 was a perfect year for democrats here.
In the end, North Carolina will be about even or a point more Dem than Florida, but a tad more republican than Ohio or virginia.
Basically, I think republicans will pick up NC around 3-5%.
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