NJ 2009

[DownWithTheLeft]

Time to start a discussion on this race, someone correct me but I will try to include anyone who may run for the office:

Republicans:

Good chance of running:
Fmr. Mets Pitcher Al Leiter
Morris County Assembly John Murphy*
Bogota Mayor Steve Lonegan
St. Sen. Tom Kean Jr.
Washington Twp. Councilman Bob Schroeder

Could run:
St. Sen. Bill Baroni
US Atty Christopher Christie
 
Most likely will not run:
Fmr. Mayor Bret Schundler
Perpetual Loser Doug Forrester
Fmr. Gov. Christie Whitman
Rep. Mike Ferguson
Rep. Jim Saxton
Fmr. Assemblyman Paul DiGaetano


Democrats

Incumbent:
Jon Corzine*

Would show interest if Corzine does not run:
Senate President and Fmr. Gov. Richard Codey
Rep. Frank Pallone
Rep. Steven Rothman
Newark Mayor Corey Booker

*Predicted nominee
My prediction: Murphy 50 - Corzine 49 GOP Pickup

Comment if you wish

[DownWithTheLeft]

Democrats win, the end.

One would assume that, although that can also be attributed to Republicans running piss-poor candidates, something Murphy is not

[DownWithTheLeft]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

[DownWithTheLeft]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

For a New Jersey politician, Corzine has approval ratings in the stratosphere. No way he loses reelection.

Also, Lonegan and Schroeder (ignoring Leiter)? Forgive me, but your man-crushes are not in and of themselves likely nominees. A Councilman running for Governor? That would truly be the end of the NJ GOP.

I never said they had a good chance, just that they would run, something both did in 2005 and I expect them to repeat.  Leiter will most likely run for something eventually as he has hinted he would like to.  Murphy or Christie could win this race, people don't look to the future as the disaster of EnCap will most likely cost Corzine Bergen County which could cause him to lose the election.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

For a New Jersey politician, Corzine has approval ratings in the stratosphere. No way he loses reelection.

Also, Lonegan and Schroeder (ignoring Leiter)? Forgive me, but your man-crushes are not in and of themselves likely nominees. A Councilman running for Governor? That would truly be the end of the NJ GOP.

I never said they had a good chance, just that they would run, something both did in 2005 and I expect them to repeat.  Leiter will most likely run for something eventually as he has hinted he would like to.  Murphy or Christie could win this race, people don't look to the future as the disaster of EnCap will most likely cost Corzine Bergen County which could cause him to lose the election.

Rutherford and southwest Bergen County is one thing; he also stepped in on behalf of Weinberg against the BCDO, which greatly improved his standing in central and southeast Bergen County. Hardly anyone outside of southwest Bergen County has even heard of EnCap.

In a close race, this pivotal swing area could provide the amount of votes to make or break his reelection

[DownWithTheLeft]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

For a New Jersey politician, Corzine has approval ratings in the stratosphere. No way he loses reelection.

Also, Lonegan and Schroeder (ignoring Leiter)? Forgive me, but your man-crushes are not in and of themselves likely nominees. A Councilman running for Governor? That would truly be the end of the NJ GOP.

I never said they had a good chance, just that they would run, something both did in 2005 and I expect them to repeat.  Leiter will most likely run for something eventually as he has hinted he would like to.  Murphy or Christie could win this race, people don't look to the future as the disaster of EnCap will most likely cost Corzine Bergen County which could cause him to lose the election.

Rutherford and southwest Bergen County is one thing; he also stepped in on behalf of Weinberg against the BCDO, which greatly improved his standing in central and southeast Bergen County. Hardly anyone outside of southwest Bergen County has even heard of EnCap.

In a close race, this pivotal swing area could provide the amount of votes to make or break his reelection

The election is not going to come down to five hundred angry people in Rutherford. It won't even be within the margin of the entire population of the Meadowlands region all together.

The Meadowlands itself (actually Rutherford is not the angriest town) is a large populous of people who certainly cannot be discounted

[DownWithTheLeft]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

... says the kid who predicted a Tom Kean victory as late into the Senate race as October 2006.

He was leading in the polls up until around then, so it certainly was not too stupid.  It was also a lot of optimism on my part.  What everyone must remember is I was the only one to realize Rodriguez would beat Bonilla in TX-23

[DownWithTheLeft]

Back to the governors race possibly....

[DownWithTheLeft]

Some comments on a Corzine v Christie race on Pol NJ:
[etc, etc]

You do realize these comments have the same validity on the race as me typing something on this website?  I could go there right now and type in that Christie would win by 25 points

[DownWithTheLeft]

Some comments on a Corzine v Christie race on Pol NJ:
[etc, etc]

You do realize these comments have the same validity on the race as me typing something on this website?  I could go there right now and type in that Christie would win by 25 points

I don't see your point. There was no agenda attached to that. It was just relevent to this thread.

Those comments have no bearing on what is actually going on and represent such a small and bias faction of NJ voters (something like .0000000000000000000001%)

[DownWithTheLeft]

Is it possible that for once I was the only one that saw something coming?