Virginia GOP Sees Warner Stepping Down (user search)
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  Virginia GOP Sees Warner Stepping Down (search mode)
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Author Topic: Virginia GOP Sees Warner Stepping Down  (Read 3108 times)
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« on: August 06, 2007, 08:47:29 AM »

Thanks, John, for helping us throw away yet another Virginia Senate seat!

At this rate, we'll get back the Senate in...oh..2016?

You guys could be in huge trouble, since if you don't beat Landrieu next year that makes two election cycles in a row with no Senate pickups, and 2010 doesn't have that many tempting targets either.
Who cares about 2010 right now?  If the Dems win the presidency it will be very enticing, plus 2012 could lead to double digit Republican pickups
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2007, 12:05:14 PM »

Thanks, John, for helping us throw away yet another Virginia Senate seat!

At this rate, we'll get back the Senate in...oh..2016?

You guys could be in huge trouble, since if you don't beat Landrieu next year that makes two election cycles in a row with no Senate pickups, and 2010 doesn't have that many tempting targets either.
Who cares about 2010 right now?  If the Dems win the presidency it will be very enticing, plus 2012 could lead to double digit Republican pickups

There are not 10 Democratic Senators vulnerable in 2012, no matter what. Presidential years are generally neutral unless the Presidential race is an extreme landslide.

PA, OH, MO, MT, VA, FL, ND, NE, NJ, and DE are possible pickups as are others.  
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2007, 12:05:49 PM »

Well, assuming the Democrats pick up four seats in 2008 and the presidency, that would mean a 55-45 majority for the Dems. Sounds very familiar for the Republicans going into 2006. I am predicting that the Democratic president should have low approval ratings by 2010, which could give the Republicans pickups in CO, WI, AR, WA, and CA. Call me crazy, but I doubt anyone would have predicted that PA, MT, OH, RI, MO, and VA would fall into Democratic hands back in 2003.
Washington and California? LOL.
Washington certainly could be seen as stretching it, but a Schwarenegger victory in CA has a 50/50 shot at this point and could get better
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