How will the political landscape be in 2024?

[DownWithTheLeft]

GA, FL, AZ and TX will continue to suck EV from the Northeast solidifying Republican leads in generic matchups

[DownWithTheLeft]

GA, FL, AZ and TX will continue to suck EV from the Northeast solidifying Republican leads in generic matchups

Nope. Only GA will "soldify" GOP leads. Texas, Arizona and Florida will all start to trend hard left soon, because of Hispanic immigration.(Mainly Mexicans, Puerto Ricans and others will be Democrats, while Cubans will be a 50-50 split)

TX is too Republican to be changed heavily by immigration, FL has Cubans which split 50-50 its more Jews from NY that could push it left, AZ could turn left by immigration

[DownWithTheLeft]

Since it was pointed out that my last prediction had some faults, I decided to revise the list.

Democrats: 201
Republicans: 126
Tossups: 211

1.) Why in the world would FL lose EV?
2.) Why does Arkansas move left?

[DownWithTheLeft]

Since it was pointed out that my last prediction had some faults, I decided to revise the list.

Democrats: 201
Republicans: 126
Tossups: 211

1.) Why in the world would FL lose EV?
2.) Why does Arkansas move left?

Florida loses EV for a number of reasons.  First, the weather and hurricane risk stems people from locating to southern Florida.  Also, I expect a large number of Cubans to return to Cuba after Castro dies.  I expect Arkansas to move left because of the Clinton effect, combined with an already strong-Democratic congressional delegation.

And which Clinton would this be almost 20 years from now?