10 weeks out, what your prediction? (user search)

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2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)

10 weeks out, what your prediction? (search mode)

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Poll

Question:

10 weeks out, what your prediction?

#1 Safe Biden		8 (4.4%)
#2 Likely Biden		75 (41.7%)
#3 Lean Biden		59 (32.8%)
#4 Tilt Biden		13 (7.2%)
#5 Pure Tossup		5 (2.8%)
#6 Tilt Trump		12 (6.7%)
#7 Lean Trump		4 (2.2%)
#8 Likely Trump		0 (0%)
#9 Safe Trump		2 (1.1%)
#10 3rd party miracle		2 (1.1%)

Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 179

Author

Topic: 10 weeks out, what your prediction? (Read 5664 times)

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New Frontier
Junior Chimp

Posts: 9,404

Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -1.22

Re: 10 weeks out, what your prediction?

« on: August 26, 2020, 09:42:59 AM »

Quote from: Skill and Chance on August 26, 2020, 09:21:59 AM

Biden/Harris 51% 277 EV

Trump/Pence 48% 261 EV

Very 1976ish vibe these days. I think the Biden lead is big enough to hold but it should be close and Trump will almost surely overperform polling in the Midwest and Northeast and underperform it in the Southwest. Here, I'm betting this ends up being a wash in Florida, which is what saves Biden unless the unthinkable happens in Texas.

Trump is NOT getting 48% of the PV.

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