Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal (user search)
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May 24, 2024, 02:48:04 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal (search mode)
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Author Topic: Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal  (Read 132847 times)
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,892
« Reply #125 on: November 05, 2018, 09:34:27 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 05, 2018, 08:52:17 PM
In a state like Indiana, Donnelly is going to get crossover support. So going by partisan EV is not most accurate. Also, there's only 9% indies in the EV? That seems low.

They are not per se indies, they are unknown/unclassified. In general they try to classify people if they can, on the basis of any information/best reasonable guess being better than no information.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,892
« Reply #126 on: November 05, 2018, 11:05:10 PM »
Quote from: henster on November 05, 2018, 10:48:41 PM
Target Smart is VoteCastr 2.0. Only thing I trust from them is data from states with party registration.

"Modeled Dem" and "Modeled Rep" is explicitly NOT supposed to predict which candidate will win in any particular race.
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