Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,000
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« on: September 02, 2018, 08:27:34 PM » |
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Obviously it depends on the candidate somewhat. Generally I would say:
MT - elaaaaaasticcc
TX - can't be too far behind AZ and GA
The third one is the hardest. The main candidates are AK, MO, IN, SC, and maybe SD. This is really where the candidate would matter and potential regional strength would come in.
I'll just say the 3rd one is IN, because at least Obama did win that once (obviously that was partly a one time regional effect, but we are starting to scrape the bottom of the barrel here on states that could plausibly vote Dem). Presumably Dems have recovered somewhat with midwestern/rural whites somewhat to win states like Iowa back, that would help in Indiana. And presumably there is decent African American turnout to win states like GA - that helps in Indianapolis and Gary. And presumably Dems are doing well in suburbs to win states like AZ/GA, so that helps reduce the Republican margins in suburban Indianapolis as well.
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