OH Sen: Brown up by 8 in new Rasmussen poll

[Deano963]

In a new Rasmussen poll to be released tomorrow, Oct. 5, Sherrod Brown leads Mike Dewine by 8 points.

Brown (D) - 49%
Dewine (R) - 41%

http://ohio2006elections.blogspot.com/

In the last Rasmussen poll, Brown lead by 6. A 2-point increase is not a big jump, but the lead is well outside of the margin of error. With Ted Strickland consistently leading in the governor's race by 20 points, a Brown victory is looking more and more like a sure thing, as is the likelihood of Democrats picking up more than 4 seats in the Senate.

[Deano963]

I think DeWine is a cooked mongoose....... I feel very confident Ohio, Penn, and Montana. I got a good feeling in Rhode Island.... and a pretty good one in Tennessee..... Missouri is a BIG question mark. I got no clue..... And in New Jersey, i'm also confused.

Actually, I am not even confident of a Brown win myself. I'm trying to reassure myself more than anyone else that he will win. The RNC is going to spend $10 million to smear him with viciously negative ads from now until Election Day (Ohio is a firewall state), and I won't ever underestimate their GOTV efforts in Ohio. The good news is that Brown has already been outpsent by the republicans by more than 2-to-1 and their attacks ads don't seem to be sticking, and he is still leading. Actually, if this poll is accurate, he has INCREASED his lead since the barrage against him began. Maybe I should be less pessimistic. Like I said, the Republicans put up a truly AWFUL candidate for governor who will probably drag down the entire ticket, while the Dems put up the best candidate they possibly could have, and he will help the ticket. Of course there is also the fact that the Ohio GOP is in full-blown, meltdown/crisis mode and the atmosphere in the state is absolutely toxic for them right now.

There, I reassured myself Brown is going to win again........

[Deano963]

I noticed he put down DeWine to win and warned him that DeWine was down in most polls, he also put down Burns. That guy basically said he didn't believe the polls and had little doubt those states wouldn't elect Democrats. Oh well.

LOL. Did you try telling him that Montana's Governor and other Senator are both Democrats? And that Strickland is going to win by at least 15?

I'll never get over the simplicity and stupidity of someone saying "State X is to Y to ever elect a Z!" If Democrats can coast to reelection in states like WY and ND, and Repubs can do the same in CT and VT, you would think people would stop using that line of reasoning.....

[Deano963]

Bump. This is what a credible poll looks like everyone.

Anyone who takes these new Zogby/Rueters polls seriosuly, especially when compared to Mason-Dixon and Rasmussen polls, is an imbecile.

[Deano963]

I wouldn't count DeWine out yet, if his approvals improve, which they might, there is still a chance, and Cook still rates this as tossup.

Hahaha. Cook also still rates Pennsylvania and Montana as toss-ups, so that's not saying much.