I believe that IN will go to Bush indefinitely. Most people would call me overconfident, since my map gave Kerry a lot more EVs than Bush, but unless Bayh is the VP (which he won't be), IN is going to go Republican again. Polls show Bush ahead by a humongus margin.
Bush would still win with Bayh as Kerry's VP. Hoosiers wouldn't stomach Kerry just to see Bayh in that powerless office.
I don't know, I'd have figured bay-staters were smart enough not to encourage their senator to leave his for the thankless mess that is the modern presidency, but you see how far that thinking will get you. People don't much read the constitution, as far as I can tell. Seems like in a lot of folks mind, the Peter Principle is an imperative.
Bayh = popular senator implies Bayh = good VP. (?) go figure...