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Author Topic: Rothenberg Senate Rankings  (Read 37711 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: October 06, 2009, 10:45:04 AM »

All of the leads have been growing smaller and smaller each poll taken, the two are going to very well matched against each other.  The last poll taken was a lead of five, not outside Beau's range.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2009, 03:38:31 PM »

Once Biden announces, I'm sure the bloom will be off the rose and we will have a dead even race here.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2009, 12:30:12 PM »

Sestak will win the primary and beat Toomey.  Toomey is too conservative to win in a blue collar state like PA.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2009, 03:41:38 PM »

My take is no clear favorite for CO, IL, De, KY, MO, NH, OH, and CT.  Narrow advantage to Specter, Reid, and Lincoln. Clear advantage to Vitter, Burr and FL open.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: January 25, 2010, 10:31:05 AM »
« Edited: January 25, 2010, 01:58:05 PM by WEB Dubois »

The Dems in the reddest states that voted for the stimulus have the most to lose right now that's why the redder state Dems like Evan Bayh will have a tough race.

It's time to move IN to lean Democratic.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: February 06, 2010, 04:43:32 AM »

Intrade has the latest election standings as of now

http://electoralmap.net/2010/
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: May 01, 2010, 01:30:18 PM »

Tossups Specter or Sestak, IL, CO, NH
Lean GOP NV,IN,DEL,FL ARK, and MO
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: May 01, 2010, 05:55:03 PM »

The last three polls show Blunt leading by six points and outside for GOP pollster Rassy has Ayotte lead seven points. I wouldn't solely rely on NH Rassy polls either.  So, as of now, both are rated GOP leaning.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #8 on: June 16, 2010, 11:42:37 AM »

tossup CO,IL,FL,PA,OH
Tilt republican NH,MO,NV,IND,Del,ARK,ND
Safe CA,WA,CT but potentially to be competetive
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2010, 04:23:22 PM »

Toss UP/Tilt GOP:
MO, KY, NH, FL
Toss UP/Tilt Dem
IL,WI,CA,WA
Tossup
NV,CO, OH, PA
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #10 on: August 24, 2010, 01:59:29 PM »

Illinois not tilt GOP.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #11 on: September 19, 2010, 09:15:16 AM »

Florida is strong Marco Rubio now, and Alaska tilts Independent and Illinois is tossup.
Logged
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