Is lingering trauma from 2020 a big factor this year? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 20, 2024, 10:51:55 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Is lingering trauma from 2020 a big factor this year? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Is lingering trauma from 2020 a big factor this year?  (Read 746 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« on: May 12, 2024, 10:59:03 PM »
« edited: May 12, 2024, 11:07:59 PM by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers »

Not me I know how it works that rural votes come in first and urban votes come in last and Provisions ballots go 2/1 D they said last time in VBM make sure you are patient in PA, WI and MI with Biden because Provision ballots always go to Ds if it's close


Most of Trump leads are 3 percent that's 150 K votes

This isn't 2004 where Kerry lost OH there was a SSM ban but a lot of users I don't know haven't been Eday clerks especially Trump Toupee and Redban and doesn't know it works.


I served most of my adult life as an Eday clerk common sense urban votes have Provisions ballots, and most clerks are Ds not Rs because of the urban not rural vote


That's why you have these crazy polls out there like Redfield and MC polls and PVI like Marist and QU out there some people think Trump or the Economic wing of the R party is paying R pollsters to report Trump winning, it says MC/Economy Trump isn't ahead in every swing state it's impossible
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2024, 02:04:40 AM »

Also, I feel that people are in a rush to declare Trump the victor, we still have to vote, just like yesterday a poll of Redfield came out and everyone declared Biden dead and now a poll comes out today showing Biden.

Lol people are bored and just assume Trump is gonna be Prez and he isn't
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #2 on: May 13, 2024, 09:33:37 AM »

In a sense, yup.

I think the issue is - at least that was the case for me - that 2020 still felt like a disappointment because it took so long for the election being called and on November 4 and 5 it seemed like Trump may actually pull it off again. Also, Biden didn't do as well as expected and Dems underperformed downballot. That was especially diappointing since we thought pollsters had fixed their problems and were more accurate compared to 2016 (but ended up being worse).

I see you fail to critique Harris she went to FL to open up an office on abortion, and Scott is 15 pts ahead of Powell, she is doing nothing but hurt the ticket, if Trump picks Haley he can indeed win

I see the usual pollster Solid and brucejoel aren't defending her like they did last time. Where is Obama whom campaign for Harris

Id Ds nominate Harris not Newsom in 28 they will repeat 2016 for sure.  But, I am critical of her look at the polls I am still voting for her but she isn't the best choice
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #3 on: May 13, 2024, 09:37:00 AM »

If Trump pick Haley not Burgum Harris will be a liability instead of an asset like Pence was. I don't even know why Trump is considering Burgum
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 12 queries.