The problem with this is that Trump is also being relatively low-key this time around. The strategy worked in 2020, because Biden was the challenger while Trump was being a fool on the White House lawn every afternoon. Now that Trump is a lot quieter this time around, most of the media and people's gaze is going to go towards the sitting President. This is supposed to be one of the advantages of incumbency which allowed Clinton, Bush, and Obama to secure their second term. Both Trump and Biden however are absolutely awful at utilizing it for their favor.
Trump is losing in the last poll, but what's going on is inflation rents are too high and Gas prices are high too it's back to 6 in CA.
Trump if there is inflation going on he would be facing the same Approvals he didn't have 60 percent Approval when he was office either, don't know why Rs think that Trump has sky high Approvals