In a sane world, this would be a national poll.
Agreed but an election like 1964 is unlikely to happen again anytime soon.
Not a 1964 but a 2008 Eday is on the horizon if Trump loses and is convicted for 26/28
I hope you're right but i have little faith in the voting public.
Yeah, polarization is too strong even for a 2008-style victory and Biden probably lacks the charisma factor for that. I could imagine the Democrat winning at least 360 electoral votes and a clean 53-45% popular vote victory in a hypothetical 2028 matchup after another disatrous Trump term though. Assuming Democrats have a strong and Republicans a weak candidate.
Even 2008 required Lehman . McCain still loses but I think he does better than Romney 2012 without Lehman (he wins NC/IN/FL/VA).
The equivalent to that this decade probably would be 2020+ NC and maybe AK given trends there . TX like FL then probably requires a lehman style event and the IN equalivent might be close to impossible these days .
It wasn't because of Lehman it was Iraq War, Larry Craig whom was gay but Down Low and Sarah Palin that caused a 2008. As for FL it was D with only Bill Nelson once he lost it was going to go R with Rubio regardless
McCain could of changed the Convention but he didn't and Larry Craig cost Coleman his S seat