Quinnipiac Wisconsin - Biden +6 (user search)
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  Quinnipiac Wisconsin - Biden +6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac Wisconsin - Biden +6  (Read 1582 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: May 08, 2024, 01:14:22 PM »

Ha😁😁😁
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: May 08, 2024, 01:15:18 PM »

+1 with RFK

I’m sure wbrocks will be skeptical, right?


RFK isnt on ballot in WI
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: May 08, 2024, 03:15:22 PM »

I was saying ha due to fact there was a poll yesterday and had Biden loses by 4 in a PA poll and Conserv got so excited and no we have a WI poll knowing full well Trump needs WI and losing by a landslide

I am an Eday clerk when an R ahead it's votes not polls because it's VBM and they said there is gonna be a red mirage Rural vote comes in early compared to urban vote. Be patient with PA because they count VBM slower than any other state, as well as NV and AZ. That's why we have crazy swings in all three states Trump +6 and in another poll Trump +1 Especially in NV
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: May 08, 2024, 03:35:34 PM »

"If you publish a tied national race and a Biden +6 in Wisconsin within the same week or so, there's something wrong with your collection.

Biden cannot be up by 6 points in the Badger State and tied in the popular vote.

Welcome back to the Silly Season!"

https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1788297934179614973

It's not tied and you know it's not tied we won the PVI 80/75M in 20, 2012 65/60M and 2016 62/60M and we outvoted Rs 900/700K votes in PA on 4/23 they say it's tied but it's not, it's votes not polls that count anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: May 08, 2024, 03:41:18 PM »

RFK taking a huge chunk out of Biden. Interesting.


Lol do you know there are females voting as well as WC men

This is probably the one part of the country I could see RFK Jr. hurting Biden more than Trump.

Yeah, I can see young working class men in places like Oshkosh and Racine drifting away from Biden.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: May 08, 2024, 07:39:30 PM »

With MD poll and WI we are exactly where we were at in Nov 22 there is no red wave coming
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: May 09, 2024, 08:08:46 AM »

So much for MC polls they had NC Trump 10 and WI Trump up 4 they inflate Trump numbers by 5
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: May 09, 2024, 11:23:24 AM »

Obviously it's the same people trolling about Trump winning and it's votes that count anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #8 on: May 09, 2024, 11:23:48 AM »

Obviously it's the same people trolling about Trump winning and it's votes that count anyways
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #9 on: May 09, 2024, 11:36:18 AM »

I know why do users not trust the vote but rely on polls anyways, we have been winning the blue wall since 2006 with 2010/2016 as the exception

Even Gore and Kerry won them but lost on VA

DS the user keeps relying on Gallup as a way to get Trump elected Gallup been at 38 percent Approvals since 2021 and Steve Konaki said that Biden is at 45 percent anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #10 on: May 09, 2024, 05:27:46 PM »

Lol, Trump is an insurrectionist and you constantly talk about Biden, this is a valid poll
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #11 on: May 09, 2024, 06:53:08 PM »
« Edited: May 09, 2024, 06:57:01 PM by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers »

Quote
In fact the forum actively purges the users who would accept it as fact out of the forum like Snowlabrador
.

He was muted for his constant dooming and concern trolling, and in case you haven’t noticed, he’s back, and almost as worse than ever.

Quote
This is absolutely not true either. The mental gymnastics to tell how every poll that favours Trump is a bad one, is just ridicilous.

It absolutely is true. Have you not paid attention to some of those poll threads that have exploded?
Maybe SnowLabrador just has different opinions than you, and you call that "dooming". Is it not a possibility he just genuinely believes Democrats will lose?

SL doesn't add substantial facts but polls like in MOE Trump leads by 4 which is well within MOE

If he added facts like wbrooks that will be different but he makes these blankets statements based on polls not votes and they can be wrong just like you said Trump will win based on MC polls and every poll has contradicted MC which has Trump up 10 in NC
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,310
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #12 on: May 10, 2024, 09:21:36 PM »

A Trump collapse is obviously more likely than a Biden collapse at this point because trump is more erratic. President Biden doesn't have to defend himself in a court of law, and nothing good happens to one's image even if one is acquitted of all charges (think of the late OJ Simpson). Until the proceedings are complete I must assume the likelihood of an acquittal on all charges.

The first evidence of a collapse is seeming outliers, and Biden at 50 and ahead by 6 in a state in which he barely scraped by in 2020 can look like an outlier.

It is impossible to see Biden winning the tipping-point state of 2020 with Trump winning the electoral vote. Unless the incumbent is on track to wipe the floor with a weak challenger like Mondale in 1984 we don't see such so early.
.

It's a 319 map alright and we will get some version of 270 to 319 because FL and TX and OH are safe R. MC polls that show Trump up 5 and 10 in NC is the outlier
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