May 2024 - Rate the election (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  May 2024 - Rate the election (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Rate the election as of now
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Toss-Up/Tilt D
 
#5
Toss-Up/Tilt R
 
#6
Lean R
 
#7
Likely R
 
#8
Safe R
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 70

Author Topic: May 2024 - Rate the election  (Read 635 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: April 30, 2024, 08:28:32 PM »

The majority of the PVI have Biden winning anyways so it's Lean D
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2024, 09:06:28 AM »

Tilt R. I can't believe I am typing that.

Marist came out with Biden +2
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: May 02, 2024, 07:14:55 AM »

Lol don't quote SL
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: May 02, 2024, 09:09:27 AM »

Tbh, I'm unsure.

According to polling, the race is Lean R. However, polling is a snapshot in time at best, if not flawed this cycle in particular. On the other hand, fundamentals look decent for Biden. We have to see whether polling starts to catch up with that or not. Biden has improved after his SOTU, but lately feels like the tide has turned again. At least to a certain degree.

It's a gamble to run Harris as I have stated many times, she doesn't have skyhigh Approvals like she did in 20. Abrams and Alsobrooks have higher favs than Harris now, that's why Newsom on new shows is prepping for a run in 28. Should Also brooks nab the S seat she will be the fav to run with Newsom in 28

But, all we need is 278 WI, PA, MI, NH and NV and VA, Harris Approvals can get Biden that

It's tilt Biden unless he loses because it's J6, Trump, users need to stop blaming Biden Harris polls are low, it's not low with me but with Rs

We went thru the same situation with Pence he had higher Approval in 16 than 20
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,953
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: May 02, 2024, 02:50:17 PM »


Lol Biden has 270
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