Axios: Trump's RNC struggles in swing states as Biden's team grows (user search)
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  Axios: Trump's RNC struggles in swing states as Biden's team grows (search mode)
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Author Topic: Axios: Trump's RNC struggles in swing states as Biden's team grows  (Read 1013 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,237
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: March 28, 2024, 09:18:42 AM »

That's why the R polls including RFK is silly he isn't on the ballot in these swing states, most of the MC polls that are entered in the Database have RFK mostly entered in Dec when Biden had low Approvals
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,237
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: March 28, 2024, 09:51:00 AM »

We're setting the stage for a Biden blowout this November.

Republicans are simply not doing what they need to do to win in November.


I'd rather be careful with such predictions, even if polls are flawed or it's just too early. I agree that under normal circumstances this would be a blowout. Not only is Biden having a huge cash advantage and running a better campaign apparatus, he's also running on a strong economy, no direct US involvement in war, dropping crime and major domestic accomplishments and against a dude with 90 felony charges that already lost before.

However, we live in times of hyper partisanship and polarization. And the problem is just the MAGA cult, which is maybe a third of the electorate, it's also low propsenity "normies" beleiving everything is going to hell and Trump will somehow make higher prices disappear. The MSM works overtime to feed this narrative as they have their own, economically driven agenda.

It's only inflation going on with Biden Approval it's not high unemployment when Trump had 10 percent in 20, and SSA in April we should find out by April 1st are community
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,237
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: March 28, 2024, 10:56:25 AM »

End of article:

"Reality check: Trump, like Obama, has a loyal and passionate following and has shown an ability to attract large numbers of unpaid volunteers.

Trump's operations this cycle in the early primary states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina — which relied heavily on local volunteers to turn out voters — helped shut down his GOP competition."

Obama didn't have J6
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,237
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: March 28, 2024, 04:39:40 PM »

Redban and Riverwalk points out that it's inflation but it's clearly not as bad as 20 when Trump lost with high unemployment that's why we replicated the blue wall in 22 and RFK isn't getting 15 in polls and PA goes 9 pts to Trump like MC polls had it in Dec, RFK is gonna get 3 percent and the polls are gonna be close in MI, PA and WI, slight D lean
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,237
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: April 01, 2024, 05:11:24 AM »

We're setting the stage for a Biden blowout this November.

Republicans are simply not doing what they need to do to win in November.


That’s one of the things that seems to make the Trump phenomenon rare - you don’t need alot of the infrastructure a normal campaign needs. His voters are wildly motivated (and deluded but hey) to run over broken coals to vote for him

Wrong the problem is inflation has lasted too long that whats causing Trump being competetive in polls, we haven't faced since 1980 with Reagan and you tend to think Rs overperform while other think DS overperform the polls
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