Why are people assuming Hobbs will lose in 2026?
Probably because they expect Biden to win reelection and therefore 2026 will be a 6th year itch. And Kimberly Yee did well in her Treasuer race last year. However, I have my doubts she'd win a GOP primary. She already withdrew from that race in 2022.
It won't be a six yr itch the 303 map with wave insurance is secure thru 28 the Rs and outparty are supposed to win after 2 Eday cycles they lost the last three
Net MS, NH, NV VA lose LA and gold NC KY DeL Rs win iN, ND, UT, MO, WV, and MT even if Ashcroft wins Kunce can pull a McCaskill and Tester can still win in MT with Gianforte
26D/24 Ds look at the S map in 26/28Tina Smith, Warner and Peters are expecting to hold on Gilchrist is expected to take over as Gov and Gov EVERS, Pritzke and Shapiro and HOCHUL are expecting to easily win, Sharice Davids is expected to run for for KS Gov in 26 KS isn't Safe r
Likewise in 28 Johnson is DOOMED IN 28 WITH LT GOV SARA RODRIGUEZ IF HE RETIRES GALLAGHER WILL LOSE YO SARA RODRIGUEZ