Would not be surprised if O'Rourke gets as close as 2018.
The models are predicting more R turnout which is wrong Ds outnumbered Rs 65/60 M since 2006 and won 80/75 M in 2020 and we turnout in VBM not same day voting if more Rs turnout it would be a 2010 Eday that's what it says in the poll
Common sense there are more Ds we own SF, LA, NY and Chi and 8 M people surround the metros including DC and Baltimore and DC suburbs
Rs DONOT OUTNUMBERED DS WE OWN THE 5 MOST POPULOUS METROS CHI, NY, DC-BLT, SF AND LAX
Travel the northern half and travel the Southern half Rural Americans are sparsely populated