Anyone else feeling so confused by this cycle?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Many users don't even read my post but I am gonna say it again most of us live in metros of suburbs around Metros that vote D there are 150 Females 55 percent vote D 45 R and 100 M Minority 85 percent vote D there are 100 white men and most of them 60 percent vote R that leaves 65/60 M vote D's that's a 303 map that we won in 2020 the rest is wave insurance this isn't a white male vote it's everybody votes EDay

The rural vote R which is the minority the Rs that live in suburbs around cities are clearly the minority everyone is clustered around Dallas, Miami, Chi, LA, SD, SF, DTW, NY, Phi, NJ and DC and Blt most of the other states are rural the R vote there you have it Secular American

The Rs offer nothing they offered stimulus checks last time but D's are offering Stimulus programs

There is no such thing anymore as a landslide midterm for outparty

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The reason why it's confusing is we have a Housing crisis a war in Ukraine and a Recession, Biden hasn't been above 50 since last September during the Cali recall and that was when we lost the Afghanistan war when Biden was about to hit 50 Russia invaded Ukraine

Newsom won that recall but he has been insufficient since that recall, Homeless crisis, Larry Elder said Newsom would be insufficient if he won again, he was right. TMac lost the VA Gov race by 2 because Biden was underwater

There are 150M  females in this country and 150 M men Atlas tend do believe it's a male country, no it's not
 These female voters, white female swing back and forth between Rs and D's they like Biden economy but they have anxiety over the Ukraine war, why, because we have that awesome NATO FORCE and we can't fight in that war and Biden pulled out of Afghanistan and let Taliban take over

These same females voted against Hillary in 2016 and voted Trump, but if this was the 2008 Hillary she would have won

This was the problem with Bill Clinton's he defeated Serbia with no Putin but didn't get Bin Laden that was part of the issue why Bush W won over Gore, Bush W put issue why Clinton didn't get Bin Laden,  Kerry lost because Edwards didn't have natl security Clark or Gephardt would have filled that but on Daily is so many liberal white males wanted Edwards, I wasn't fascinated by Edwards I said Gephardt and Bush W closed the white female gap too, Biden opened it up again in 20

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That’s funny — I actually remember 2014 feeling like a "very uncertain" midterm election to many as well. At this point in 2014, the consensus was that (a) Democrats still had a very good chance of holding the Senate (with much discussion about how Republicans like Tom Cotton of AR were "blowing" their races*), (b) there was no way Republicans were going to gain governorships (with a "banner year" for Democrats considered a more likely outcome than a GOP wave in the gubernatorial races), and (c) the GCB average was actually very close/basically a tie.

*e.g. https://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2014/07/08/the-gop-is-worried-cotton-falls-flat-on-campaign-trail

Fair enough, maybe it will be a gop wave like 2014.

That's apples and oranges comparing 2014 to now there is no $ wave in the Sek we are ahead in all the swing states we don't know about 5he H, users don't know what a range is 235 R H to 210 R seats and51/60 D Senate seats the odds is a 230RH and 52/48 D S but we can get 218DH and 55 Senate seats

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is a tough cycle but Approvals LIE how can Biden be at 41 and OH, NC and FL are competetive, we must remain optimistic until we get exit polls these polls are showing a 304 map anyways the rest is wave Insurance

I would make my map a 3o4 map like I had early in if I felt that it would, but I am donating to Ryan I can't make OH, FL and NC Lean R and there are 15 Blk and 26 percent Arab or Latino and white female vote

We're gonna have Provisional ballots, like last time, these are late breaking D ballot counted