Suffolk University: Gabrieli(D) leads Dems in primary and Dems lead Healey(R) for Mass governor

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Poll: Massachusetts Governor by Suffolk University on 2006-08-21

Summary: D: 46%, R: 25%, U: 20%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If you look at the POS poll, then there is another poll in the Dem primary, this time Patrick is tied with Gabrieli. So, it seems like it is Patrick or Gabrieli.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wouldn't take Survey USA poll seriously tney have Allen ahead by only 3 points, I don't believe that because Allen's approval ratings are still around 50%. Also, they had Claire up by 1 and Rasmussen and most pollsters had her behind at this point.
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[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But I don't think that Patrick isn't that strong of a candidate. Reilly and Gabrieli are much stronger than Patrick, all of their leads are much stronger than Patrick. We will see if Patrick's lead hold up, it is only 4 points. I think the race is really between Patrick and Reilly, I doubt that Chris Gabrieli gets it, because eventhough one poll show him with a lead, most of the polls have had it neck and neck between Reilly and Patrick.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Who knows the race is a tossup now, and people have their own interpretation on who are the front runners, I like Reilly, he has been the one who has had the largest lead on Healy of all the candidates. I don't think Patrick is as strong as people thought he has the smallest lead. And it further showed his weakness by the POS poll. I want Reilly to win. But it is a complete tossup.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That's why I am rooting for Reilly and I think Patrick and Gabrieli will split the vote and Reilly wins. The Democratic establishment is rooting for Reilly.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wouldn't count on her being elected until she is ahead, the last poll was a tie and that was the best she has down. The Dems still hold the edge in this race. And Reilly is the best one to take her down.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No, not in the POS poll, Patrick is tied in the POS poll against Healy.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That POS poll should alarm the Dems, which Healy is tied with Patrick.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Right, they should pick Reilly or Gabrielli

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Someone said that the Survey USA poll was accurate, isn't that the same Survey USA poll that had Crist ahead of Gallagher by 30 points, and it is really a 10 point lead.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, his approval ratings is at 47% and that is still good for an incumbant. Again how many times have VA sent a Democratic senator from the senate since 1964, only 2. As far as MO, Zogby has had Talent up the longest and his approval ratings has increased to 51%. Also, the drug story that Claire McCAskill admitted to was taken after those other polls were taken. As far as Survey USA, they were the same one that said that Crist was leading by 30 points against Gallagher, and even republican pollster Inside Advantage has it a much closer race.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Scoonie Patrick is vulnerable and the last poll, he is tied with Healy. I would wait until another poll comes out before I assume that Patrick will definately win. Me, I am rooting for Tom Reilly, he was ahead early on and he would definately beat Healy.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Reilly is backed by strong union support, I think he is the best bet. With that poll showing a tied race with Patrick,  I don't want to take any chances.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You say that drug story is a non issue but yet Gallup and Hotline has the Dems losing ground on the generic ballot. You say that VA is moving leftward and it is a pro-military state and Webb is anti war and Allen is pro war. And you said Allen will win and so will Talent and they both have more money than their challengers.