IA-Selzer: Ernst +4 (user search)
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  IA-Selzer: Ernst +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer: Ernst +4  (Read 5595 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,469
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« on: October 31, 2020, 06:29:38 PM »

Sure Jan, it's well within margin of error for D's to win thus
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,469
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2020, 11:00:22 PM »

Kim Reynolds is still very popular in IA even in Covid that's why Ernst stands a chance
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,469
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2020, 05:54:17 AM »

Despite the poll potentially having problems I did change my prediction from Greenfield to Ernst. And I actually did so a day before the poll was released.

Suburbs will carry Biden over in the midwestern states he wins. Not the Obama Trump areas.

You changed your prediction and it's a poll within margin of error
.
The remaining Tossups aside from GA are all within margin of error

Bullock tied
Bollier tied
Graham plus 2
Cornyn plus 50
Sullivan plus 3



Rs aren't gonna sweep the remaining Tossups since Trump is at 44 percent
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