CA GOV 2021 - 2022 megathread

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gonna be fun when the networks insta-call this for Newsom and the right freaks out.

Gavin Newsom is Gray Davis even if Cox wins he has to deal with a Supermajority D State Legislature, so it won't make a dines worth of difference, Newsom has to get 50% or he is recalled

It won't be a blowout 20 pt Newsom lead

That's why I might vote to recall Newsom, if he loses Steyer would run against Cox in 2022

Orange suburbs aren't D always

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gonna be fun when the networks insta-call this for Newsom and the right freaks out.

Gavin Newsom is Gray Davis even if Cox wins he has to deal with a Supermajority D State Legislature, so it won't make a dines worth of difference, Newsom has to get 50% or he is recalled

It won't be a blowout 20 pt Newsom lead

That's why I might vote to recall Newsom, if he loses Steyer would run against Cox in 2022

Orange suburbs aren't D always

You’d vote for a Republican governor now to maybe get a different Democrat later? One who probably wouldn’t even run?

The Gov whom wins the recall has to run in 2022 anyways, there's nothing Cox can do with a D Supermajority legislature anyways.

Yes, if Cox is Gov Steyer or Villigosa will run against him in 2022

It's secret ballot anyways, I can vote for whom I want and Newsom isn't winning by 20, more like 5

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gonna be fun when the networks insta-call this for Newsom and the right freaks out.

As fun as Atlas freaking out if/when Orange County votes against the recall

Costa Mesa, Santa Ana, Trustin, and Anaheim, I lived in and have very rich people, in a close Election they will vote for Gov Cox

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cox is the underdog, but he can do nothing with a D Supermajority legislature but if Newsom loses, Cox is up for reelection in Nov, 2022 and would be an underdog to any D

Cox, said he will work with D's to get jobs, I am still undecided about the Recall, this isn't a Prez race and it's secret ballot

But, he is tied with Newsom 45%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Newsom is Gray Davis, he is still the Favor but it will be 51(46% against the recall not a 20 pt

The problem for Cox is McCarthy in Bakersfield whom is beholden to TRUMP

There isn't a dimes worth of difference between Fix and Mccarthy bought and payed for by TRUMP

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Newsom is gaining momentum again, it's over for Cox, obviously he is another Kevin Mccarthy

Both of them look the same, Tom Steyer for 2026

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race is over Cox has been morphed in Kevin Mccarthy and their polls have tumbled since Rs blocked the Commission and Rs have to get 51% to recall Newsom and they won't get it

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

To reelect Gray Davis Gavin Newsom when sent 600 cheques to EITC payers only not to everyone and state gives GR to homeless

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe D, Cox has been morphed into Kevin Mccarthy

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The majority of these homeless people are on SSA or Disability as of now, Shelters are taking only certain people, some of these people got evicted from their hotels due to fact they didn't pay rent when they're supposed to, but we have Brushfires, and we are in a drought, whom really wants to be outside in this heat


Now, that shelters are shut down they have nowhere to go, but on the street in Covid

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I still don't get what's the point to waste millions of dollars and call voters to the polls to recall a Democratic governor in a rocksolid blue state 14 months before the next regular election takes place anyway? Just because said governor could do more to tackle crisis like homelessness? Or is his crime to listen to science during a pandemic? Of course Newsom wasn't perfect, but no comparison to Florida man or Cuomo. And in a new situation like this, some errors inevitably happen.

Even in the extremely unlikely event the recall succeeds and a Republican replaces Newsom, he or she would face a state legislature with a Democratic supermajority and would stand zero chance to survive 2022.

Newsom is only leading 50/44% in the Recall he isn't safe, we don't know the turnout and there are rich people in Orange that vote R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There is lower turnout in an off yr election and having an Election in 2021 instead 2022 was the best way to defeat Newsom, this is a 5 pt race, this isn't a landslide

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McCarthy favs have gone down since he blocked the JT Commission and Cox is seen as another McCarthy, Cox was tied before the Commission was blocked now he is double digits behind

The Rs targeted Cali, due to lower turnout in off year Election

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Newsom isn't in trouble since McCarthy blocked the Commission, Cox was tied with Newsom, since then Cox has been morphed into Leader McCarthy

Also, Cali doesn't drill off it's coast, Oil drilling is causing the drought conditions

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Newsom name isn't gonna be on the ballot just the recall which gives way to a better chance for recall, I am still undecided, if Newsom is recalled Steyer will run in 2022

Newsom is leading 50/44 still in range for recall, it's secret ballot

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If the Election were held today, secret ballot, I would vote yes on recall and vote for D in 2022

It won't do much of an R Gov is Elected due to D Supermajority legislature

Newsom isn't listed as a D on the ballot, it's yes or no for Recall, 51 recalls NEWSOM

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wonder whether Faulconer and Cox will just continue campaigning for 2022 once the recall has been rejected?

Of course CA is ground zero for Redistricting and D's can Redistricted 6 Rs out of CA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's have a Supermajority in the State Legislature what can an R Gov do

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I don't know which take is more laughable. "California GOP Governor Larry Elder will win in 2022 because B I D E N M I D T E R M" or "It's actually bad for governments to encourage more people to vote"

Stop counting chicken 🐔🐔🐔, Gov Newsom is still GOV, they already said it will be a long night with VBM

Trump approvals were upside down 43/46 Biden is right side up 46/43 Trump was being impeached for Ukraine, his wife is Ukrainian

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I voted No on Recall and mailed my ballot

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I voted for Elder

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Of course I voted against the Recall models predict a 291/304 map and a 51 or 52 S and 220 H either way, VA, NJ, Cali, PA, GA, WI, AZ and NV we are tied or leading in Govs and Senate

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Recall is over Elder said  minimum wage should be zero, Newsom wins

We gotta wait for VA, VA is very much like OH, it's a fickled state, it vote partisan trends but the outparty can be very competetive just like Ryan v Mandel

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

NEWSOM  is gonna win anyways, the state is done flirting with Larry Elder

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

What a waste, Larry Elder, Northern Cali won't vote for him