538 model & poll tracker thread (user search)

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2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)

538 model & poll tracker thread (search mode)

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Topic: 538 model & poll tracker thread (Read 58399 times)

Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution

Posts: 89,767

Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

Re: 538 model to be released Wednesday

« on: August 10, 2020, 05:19:07 PM »

We dont need anymore models Larry Sabato, Cook and Nate Silver has it 279 to 259 and Biden will probably duplicate Hilary PVI margin 65 to 62 giving room for Trump to contest irregularities in VBM ballots in PA and MI. Biden will need 70 M votes to win TX, that's why polls show Trump still ahead in AZ and TX. NC is off, Biden isnt winning NC by more than 4 pts👍👍👍

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution

Posts: 89,767

Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

Re: 538 model to be released Wednesday

« Reply #1 on: August 10, 2020, 09:20:08 PM »

We know Ds chances of winning 413 EC votes and 60 seat Senate is ridiculous just because Harris named Veep. A 51 Senate model and 279 EC votes is the best they will do.

Dems are too concerned over winning TX and AK

If they get that, Trump is bound to file legal challenges in WI and PA

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