Harrison and McGrath lead April's ActBlue donations (user search)
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  Harrison and McGrath lead April's ActBlue donations (search mode)
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Author Topic: Harrison and McGrath lead April's ActBlue donations  (Read 2144 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,146
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: May 20, 2020, 08:36:50 PM »

McGrath will win. Harrison probably loses. But if Dems passes DC statehood, then Mfume and Donna Edward's will run for seats
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,146
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: May 21, 2020, 08:31:33 AM »

Ds are in alot better position to win AZ, CO, GA, KS, KY, MT than IA, ME and NC, where moderate Rs are. Tillis can be described as a moderate, as well as Collins and Ernst
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,146
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: May 21, 2020, 02:01:17 PM »

Bullock and Bollier and Gideon are the paths to 51 seats to the majority, not Harrison.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,146
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2020, 05:28:17 PM »

Ds already have stopped donating to these sort of races. AZ, CO, GA, IA, KS, ME, MT and NC are much more valuable in conjunction with Kathleen William's, JD Scholden, and Jarad Golden, running for House seats
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,146
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: May 23, 2020, 09:17:38 PM »

I'd guess dollar for dollar Montana is probably the best place to donate atm? Maine's a cheap media market too but Gideon is sitting on stacks on stacks.

IA is also decently funded for a likely R state, but neither Gideon nor any of Ernst's Democratic challengers have McGrath/Harrison $, and it's not as if KY is an especially huge state.

MT's probably the best value for money right now, followed by GA - despite its size, Democrats are terribly underfunded relative to the party's average fundraising advantage in a competitive Senate race, and it's not been especially prioritised as a target of DSCC $ recently.


Dems in IA, ME and MT has Kathleen William's, Jared Golden and JD Scholten that are spending $$$on ads that will be beneficial to our low spending Dem Senate candidates.  Ernst ist some unbeatable titan, she will lose, she has a 37/43 approval rating 😍😍😍 to Greenfield who is down only 43 to 42
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,146
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: May 23, 2020, 09:18:46 PM »

Harrison, Jones and McGrath dont have aggressive House races in their respective states that are beneficial to Dems.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,146
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: May 29, 2020, 08:46:46 PM »


Harrison could win
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,146
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: May 31, 2020, 01:45:21 PM »

Since Marshall may very win the R nomination for Senate, slot of voters are taking their money and giving it McGrath instead of Bollier
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