Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings: Berine Sanders edition (user search)
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  Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings: Berine Sanders edition (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings: Berine Sanders edition  (Read 2051 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,765
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« on: February 27, 2020, 08:19:38 AM »

All these ratings can be justified except for VA/CO and Ohio

VA and CO are likely D at the worst even with Sanders and Ohio is Likely R.

Bernie is leading Trump in NC and is tied in FL.

Yet again these pundits think Bernie is weak, as we have polls showing he is 7 points ahead of Trump
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,765
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2020, 08:37:52 AM »

I think French Republican has latched onto the idea that WI along with SN2903 and Old School Republican that WI is unwinnable for Bernie and Amy Klobuchar or Michael Bennet will help ensure that WI is won
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,765
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2020, 09:36:26 AM »

Sabato Crystal Ball should be congrats,  he corrected pointed to the 278 Blue wall state, and the 260 red wall states, but the 260 red wall is more likely to be cracked with NC and AZ; consequently, due to Kelly in AZ and Cooper in NC coattails in the battleground map.

In 2016, blue wall was easily cracked due to Johnson and Toomey's strength in WI and PA, and PA didnt nominate Sestak
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,765
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #3 on: February 27, 2020, 01:16:21 PM »

Dems have bailed on Iowa, and FL goes R due to home state advantage of Trump .

AZ and NC may flip due to Kelly and Cooper but that's a stretch
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,765
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2020, 08:39:07 PM »

With the Fox polls showing Bernie ahead 49-42, once he gets his Beep selection, Bernie can expand the map
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,765
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #5 on: February 28, 2020, 06:51:27 AM »

Yes, www.electionprojection.com has it right, WI is gonna determine the Prez
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