TYT: IA is DONE with Joni Ernst (user search)
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  TYT: IA is DONE with Joni Ernst (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Agree or disagree?
#1
Yes, IA is DONE with Joni Ernst
 
#2
No, IA is not DONE with Joni Ernst
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 66

Author Topic: TYT: IA is DONE with Joni Ernst  (Read 2661 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,121
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: August 21, 2019, 09:38:50 AM »

Ernst approvals have stayed at the same level as Kim Reynolds: 50/32.  2018, states split their votes for Gov and Senate. MT, AZ, CO, AL, we can see that trend comtinue. This is why Scholten decided to run for King's seat instead of Ernst. 2022, should Dems win back Senate, Grassley is likely to retire and seat can be won, then.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,121
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2019, 09:45:48 AM »

IA can vote for Joe Biden and vote for Joni Ernst as well as ME voting for Collins and Joe Biden. Senate is very much up for grabs.

Will it happen; with abscense of Senate polls, we dont know
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,121
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2019, 11:24:54 AM »

Iowa went from a 3-1 Republican House delegation to a 3-1 Democratic one in 2018 and all the statewide races Republicans won were in single digits. Yes it was a Democratic year, but not overwhelmingly so. Ernst winning by double digits is not in the cards and Trump might not even win the state again.

The Dems are looking elsewhere for their Senate majority as this is likely R
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,121
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2019, 11:34:35 AM »

Greenfield isnt the right candidate
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,121
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: August 22, 2019, 08:07:50 AM »

Ernst has always been tough to beat, thats why Braley lost in 2014 and Scholten didnt run.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,121
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: August 23, 2019, 11:34:56 AM »

Rating change: Dems will win IA
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,121
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2019, 04:01:06 PM »

We know Greenfield is destined to lose; however, if Mike Franken runs, he will win
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,121
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: August 27, 2019, 11:57:37 AM »

If Joe Biden is the nominee, I wouldnt underestimate Greenfield or Franken in this race. IA and OH are leading Dem according to Morning Consultant
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