Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Whitmer, Evers and Shapiro, Polis and SISOLAK are all getting reelected with 3 percent unemployment just like SUNUNU, Abbott, DeSantis and DeWine with 3 percent unemployment are gonna get reelected

We lost VA in 2021 not 22 when our Federal candidates will be on the ballot in 22 in VA 21 just our state candidates were in the ballot and TMac lost narrowly Spanberger district

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We need a Sen and Gov poll here

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We need WI, MI, PA and ME polls there aren't any

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Rs say they won't ban Contraceptive but will they certify Biden as victor if he wi s WK again in 2024 which he will with Tammy Baldwin and they haven't assured anyone if the Rs with an R state legislature will do that Evers like Barnes win 51/49

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Again, she hasn't said I'd she would certify Biden of WI 10 EC votes just like Kari Lake, that's gonna hurt both of them

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kleefisch has not said like Kari Lake if they would certify Biden as the winner of the 10 EC votes, D's certainly have VA and GA to fall back on if AZ and WI fall but it's critical not just saying you are for contraceptive, that's why she is losing 47/43 to Evers

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Not good news for Michelshttps://twitter.com/Robin_Vos_Stan/status/1549125459119669249

Not good news for Evers either. He cannot defeat Kleefisch.

He is leading in MQK poll 47/43 and Barnes is leading Johnson 46/44, MQK poll is the most accurate, LOL WE STILL HAVE VOTE HOW MANY TIMES DO I HAVE TO TELL YOU PEOPLE NOTHING IS FINAL UNTIL VOTES ARE FINALIZED , and it's VBM it's not gonna come in quick, if you a paid pundit which you are not you can't tell anyone whom is gonna win, you keep doing that


We are gonna win the 303 map and we are competetive in Red states

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just cast my Senate primary vote by mail (duck you Republicans) for Godlewski.

As a Wisconsinite, who do you think will be the nominee at this point?

Tossup but would lean Barnes. He’ll help boost black turnout but his history will hurt in most other areas of the state. Will probably have the worst margins in rural areas too.

Obama won WI in 2008/12 users tend to  forget that and Barnes won as LT Gov with Evers to beat Walker

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I had no idea Michels was actually endorsed by Trump here. Will be interesting to see if that gets him over the finish line.

He will win, as we have seen in MD and IL the Dem leaning Indies are voting for the weaker nominee hopefully it happens in AZ, we can't afford Lake as the nominee

That's why the polls are off because either party can vote in opposing party nomination process

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good we don't need Kleefisch

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is the best news no Kleefisch, Pence has no sway in R party ANYMORE

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes he does he was leading in a MQK poll 48/40 WO is a Purple D state it's not OH or IA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I might move this back to Toss-Up (still closer to Tilt R than Tilt D), but Democrats winning Wisconsin in a midterm for their party would be quite a departure from the norm.

Lol we didn't lose Blue states in 2014 we only lost CO, we lost LA, AR, WVA, SD, and MT, 2010 Doyle was TL  he had won 2T and we had 10% Unemployment users forget  D Jim Doyle Gov 2003/2011 was TL in 2010 that's why Walker wonl

Guess what since there is no more Kleefisch Sara Rodriguez will win in 26

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump did us a huge favor on IL, WI, MD and PA they all are the wrong candidates

Sullivan would have made this Brady v Quinn 2010 Pritzker would of won but by 3 pts , Kleefisch would of cleaned our clocks, female vote looms large Sara Rodriguez is a Latina, Kleefisch would have taken that away like Reynolds is taking the gender Gap against DEJEAR

Reynolds and DeWine are up 51/43 they're not up 16 pts like the polls indicate, Franken is down by 8 and Ryan is winning I don't see DeWine winning by more than 8 he only won by 3 and so did Reynolds last time

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Wisconsin governor’s race the most expensive in the country

The two sides have spent $55 million since the August primary. Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers and his Democratic allies have spent $38 million while Republican construction magnate Tim Michels and Republicans have spent $17 million on the race, according to AdImpact, which tracks TV ad spending in elections.

Given this disparity, Evers and Michels really shouldn't be tied right now.

Its not tied the Sen race is Evers is leading by 3/ give 2/3 pts to Ds for Early vote that's the way I see it that's why I have a wave insurance map, PPP polled the Gov race and Sen race Barnes was tied and Evers was leading by 3

I have much more confidence in SIEGAL knocking off Scott now than SHERMAN because Scott been in office forever

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Johnson isn't winning this race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All signs pt to a Michels /LOSS he was never Kleefisch

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Barnes wasn't that good of a nominee if it was 2024 he would of been the perfect nominee but it was a midterm Sara Goldwitz should of been the nominee, I am glad I didn't donate to him

Barnes was talked up the most by Ds and was a mediocre candidate , just like John Edwards in 2004 was a mediocre Veep nominee

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The WI R party is Doomed without Johnson and in 28 he is done in a Prez yr

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

RS underperform when Ron Johnson isnt on the ballot and he is gone in 28 anyways in a Prez yr


I don't see any RS posting on WI because Ron Johnson is not running, what a shame Barnes lost

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kelly will win. Mark my words.

LoL stop rooting for RS this is the same Biden that ran with Obama and defeat RS in WI in 2008/12/20/22 with Gov Evers

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I'm not a troll, just a pessimist. I say what I believe.

LoL the blue wall as secure we secured it a midterm yeah Johnson survive but he is an unusual R like Walker and Kleefish but Baldwin is safe in 24 and Evers win and Johnson is DOA in 28 in a Prez race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

WI IS LEAN D WITHOUT JOHNSON AND 2028HE WILL LOSE

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Turnout will be higher than 22 because it's a Prez race not Midterm even if it's the same 113 voters Da are favoredwjite females vote more D in Prez than Midterm that's why FL is trending bluer not redder