Strongest challenger for Sherrod Brown in 2024? (user search)
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  Strongest challenger for Sherrod Brown in 2024? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Strongest challenger for Sherrod Brown in 2024?  (Read 1700 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: March 04, 2019, 07:59:08 PM »

If Tim Ryan jump into race in 2022 due to harsh GOP gerrymandering, Portman will have a race on his hands, as well.  It wont be a Strickland implosion
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2019, 02:30:02 PM »

Since this is a prez year, not a midterm, its gonna be harder for GOP to defeat Brown. Dems can beat Rick Scott of FL as well. Its probably gonna be a reelect Dem incumbent yr.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: March 18, 2019, 08:48:03 AM »

Brown got lucky that 2018 was a Trump midterm and the GOP picked a trash-tier opponent for him in Jim Renacci. In 2024, he will lose, since Presidential electorates are more polarized than midterm electorates, and Ohio is rapidly moving right.

In a Dem incumbent reelect, OH is more likely to vote Dem
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: March 18, 2019, 06:17:51 PM »
« Edited: March 18, 2019, 06:30:37 PM by olowakandi »

Honestly, Brown and Manchin should be sending thank you notes to Hillary Clinton every day. Both would have been obliterated in a Clinton midterm.

Not to mention Tester (and Comstock wins the VA special)
Menendez, Stabenow, Smith, Baldwin and either Casey or Cantwell probably lose in a Clinton midterm

In the House, people like Kildee, Tim Ryan, Peterson, and Joe Courtney are swept away in a R wave

Literally, Pelosi and Schumer should sent a thank you note to Clinton, because the Dems would have been blown into obscurity until an R midterm, Clinton also would probably lose in a landslide in 2020.

Speaker Ryan didnt lose his majority solely due to it being an R midterm. The GOP were favored, and things took a turn for worst due to: Impeachment Article I: further damage by Trump lawyers: Cohen & Manafort, lying to FBI about Kremlin probe. Also, another impeachment (Article II): attempts by Trump to remove,  an FBI agent, Comey and Mueller, in the middle of investigation. GOP house refused to investigate Trump. Justifying it, by saying no collusion. Trump will be indicted once he leaves office, and civil charges concerning Kremlin. Civil charges will be brought to bring dowm Trump Towers

GOP were also supposed to take 4-5 Senate seats, they took 2
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