Opinion of the Previous Poster's Signature V: You Only Live Twice

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Erased my signature, people was able to see it eventhough I had it hidden for my personal use, for now on, make more elaborate signature for family only on Facebook, Reckoning showed it all on Atlas

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

My signature is in case D's win it's not absolute and things can change but we can win a Secular Trifecta in either 22/24 because 22 it's not gonna be a blowout anymore and 24 it's 80% turnout we have to find out how things go on EDay, but EDay looks better for D's, it's not gonna be a 2010/14 Election

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Everyone talks about my maps this is a change Election we will do well in TX)FL , I am more optimistic about TX/FL than I once was, we definitely need Comprehensive immigration reform

https://twitter.com/EchelonInsights?t=sFcxiYqDJpyTZNpIDvdByQ&s=09


Biden leads Trump with 45/43 HA even with low Approvals

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I hope we have a 218/217 D H but the S will be 52/46/2 we will net WI, PA and OH which gets us to 52 seats while LA and GA may go to a runoff, while the H will depend on how many gains we have to offset the losses we're not losing NH or ME 2 and Garcia is gonna lose in CA

As far as Gov Charlie Crist will defeat DeDantis as there will be two upset specials OH Sen and FL Gov I don't know about GA, KS, AZ but we are gonna net MA and MD

That's the estimate that a neutral Environment has McCarthy 0/10 H seats and 2/4 D Senate seats.

That's 26/24 Govs we lose on LA, Beshear will win in 2023

It's not gonna be a 241RH and 54 RS S Biden isn't at 39/42 he is closer to 50 than 40

This will be the outcome of the Election Rs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There aren't more Rs coming into Midterms that's false it's 40/28/28 Indie/R/D registration, the reason why Midterms have outparty doing better is that the under 30 don't vote and they feel in Prez Elections it's their Patriotic duty

We're not gonna get 80/75M it's gonna be close to 65/62M and that in itself will secure the blue wall but Kelly, Barnes, Fetterman, Warnock, Tim Ryan and Crist will win giving us a Filibuster proof Senate
.

Also, the insurrection is having a damaging effect, and the PA and WI polls showing small D leads wait for a PPP poll they will show bigger leads, the fact non PPP polls shows small D leads is good news

Rs need to stop saying more Rs are gonna vote they're not it's less of the youth vote that's why the primaries favored Rs because less of the youth vote voted in non contested primaries, Tim Ryan will defeat Vance, OH has 12 black Vance unlike DeWine will get 1% Blk he looks like Eric TRUMP

We do need an INDICTMENT TO SECURE THE H but we will have with53 votes wave insurance for 24 Senate if we don't win the LA SEN, meaning DC Statehood in 22/24, Rs aren't getting 241H seats if at all it's gonna be 0/40 seats

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

People say do I influence people, I can only control where I stand but Rs aren't influencial we have the Grossest Income INEQUALITY SINCE THE 1970S with inflation and the way the richest Americans like athletes making 480 M with endorsement 2o yr contract has 90% of the wealth the R party is gonna lose because the believe in tax cuts, the Difference in 1970s and now are Projects and affordable housing, they gave Pandemic Rental assistance and it expired already after 2 yrs and no money for Section 8 vouchers

That's why some women don't watch sports it's all controlled by China and Nike is in China and big oil as I have said many times, my family females don't watch Baseball or Hockey but NFL and NBA okay but no more Lebron or Curry the Sport will be DEAD after they retire

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said before, with this Roe Descisoon it's not gonna be a typical Midterm, we now have a chance to expand the map, certainly the 303 blue wall is gone, we have OH, NC, FL and TX in play now those D's were 5/6 pts behind except for Ryan and Crist whom we're ahead, with an expanded map as Warren and Tammy DUCKWORTH said we can keep the H that's 55 or 56 seats depends on LA, IA or MO and with 55 the Filibuster automatically goes the Filibuster threshold will go down to 55 seats and Rs can't do a thing about it

There are gonna be upsets not with Rs pre Roe but D's are gonna upset Rs

In this Environment the Rs should be leading in every swing state like in 2010, they can't lead in PA and some users still think Oz and Johnson are gonna buck 37% Approvals

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Add into my comments made earlier, do users know that it's still VBM and it's not same day voting yes, the primaries we're landslides and came back very quickly, but PA Senate didn't the R primary H races took serval weeks to count BALLOTS and so did the Tossup states take several days, every race isn't gonna be called when the polls closed except for certain sage states like CA, IL and NY


Just this morning since users like to keep using Biden low polls as a Bellwether, 36% Approvals, 63%/30 are against Roe being overturned, it's NOT THE SAME ELECTION WHICH ONLY HAS HIGH INFLATION, we still have the Insurrectionists commission, too

Our chances of holding the TRIFECTA are much improved now despite inflation and Trump isn't gonna be Prez in 24

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lowered my prediction but KS, OH, FL bucked party trends in 2018 and NH with Sununu and MD añd MA but we're gonna win MD and MA, partisan trends don't act right in Midterms as they do in Prez Elections, I don't know about NC that's a weird state Beasley is doing poorly than Demings because she supports the Filibuster

Obviously, we're not winning 41H seats and we didn't win 80M votes in 2018 so the Rs arguenent about winning OH, KS and FL flies out the window

But, TX, IA forget it Beto is too weak, as far as OR is concerned yes we have a spoiler on Betsy Johnson but Ron Wyden is on the ballot and help Tina Kotek


That's enough wave Insurance to keep the H it's gonna go down to the wire because Biden isn't at  36/42 we aren't seeing polls like in 2010, he is closer to 50 than 40

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I had a premonition that D's kept the Trifecta but Partisan trends don't act right in Midterms than Prez, it's a 303 map with wave insurance that's 15 percent black and 26 percent Latino, Asian or Arab and can move a race 100 K votes and it's VBM anyways it's gonna take a long time to count close races, Beasley, Ryan, Demings, Crist and Beto aren't Ed Markey they are Joe Kennedy adored by Blks but DeWine will win overwhelmingly win like in 2018 he is adored by Blks and so will Reynolds 🤩🤩🤩

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The projections on Twitter have it a 230RH and 52/48 D Senate and 26/24D Govs depends on KS but Ds goal is 218/217 H and 51/55 Senate seats and 30 Govs and they have DeSantis losing in FL, so all the R nut maps aren't happening with WI, PA Senate net gains the blue wall is solidified and Trump or DeSantis or Pence aren't gonna be Pres

Rs aren't getting nut maps D's were expecting the same 241H and 55 S seats in 2020 with Trump at the same Approvals, but of course Twitter is being cautious about the H they don't want to overpredict

It's turnout not Approvals and since 2012, D's have outnumbered Rs 65/60M when Obama was declared winner over Romney 303

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

R nut maps aren't happening the Change polls came out with all incumbentts safe with PA and WI without GA that guarenteed D's 51 seats and we still have OH, NC, FL and LA, on Act blue there isn't a link yet Demings is behind 46/48 and Crist is tied with DeSantis


You know why Crist and Demings may pull off the upset because number 1 Crist was Gov R before and never raised taxes, number two he looks like that Game show host I forgot his name but one game show host looks like Christ white hair and good looking

FL and NC and OH we're always gonna be close we win NC H seats in 2018 and nearly won FL too with a Socialist Gillum and OH Vance isn't Rob Portman if Vance ran against Strickland he would of lost in a landslide, Portman doesn't associate himself with Trump

It has very little Approvals because IPSOS HAS BIDEN AT 36% AND ONLY 7% Rs support Biden, Rs are driving down Biden Approvals, so 36% is misleading, if you want the link I posted it in Biden Approvals

Rs want to go to the days of tax cuts for the rich that 1981/2001/2017 that cost 1.5 T each did nothing to help but rich athletes, celebrities and Trump and Oprah and Russian Oligarchy

The homeless rate went from 500K to almost 1M people after the PANDEMIC that's why there isn't affordable housing everyone wants cheap rent, all you have to do is go to Cali and see how many homeless there are

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Crist looks like Johnathan OHurley a celebrity that's why he will beat DeSantis and if Crist win so will Demings😊😊😊😊

Crist 51/49 Listener poll
Demings Act blue 46/48
Beto down by 5
Beasly down by 5
Ryan 44/41
Barnes 46/44
Fetterman 50/44

Wave insurance seats
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_O%27Hurley Hurley
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charlie_Crist Crist



Just like my DAD brother was a twin of his and they were two yrs apart Johnathan and Crist are twins

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just remember Webb didn't lead in any Pre Election polls and Allen was supposed to win like DeSantis, DeSajtis got a bump from Surfside that's why he was ahead so long but FL is an evenly split state Trump won it by 3 pts and users thinking it was gonna be a 9/12 pt race were clearly wrong it's back to a 3 pt race like 2020

DeSantis is still favored by three I am not stupid but Crist can win , just like Vance is favored by 3 it's a 303 map but it's Turnout if it's a Prez Turnout the Rs are finished

It's gotta be 65/60M or higher or 80/75 M but it's VBM and votes are not gonna be immediate like Rs think it gonna be that's why they make wrong R nut maps and we a favored in MI, WI and PA, NV, NM and CO

That's why I make a wave insurance map in 2008/12 I was cautious and didn't give Obama, IN, NC and FL and was wrong ever since then I make wave insurance maps you don't know what Ds are capable of on EDay 2010/2014 were the only two cycles Rs did good since 2004 we won all the othees

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was right about OH, NC and FL,  we can net a 55 seat SEN and someone deleted my poll shows Perez leading 22 in the MD Gov, Approval numbers mean zilch the IPSOS poll that showed Biden at 36 percent has 7 percent of Rs Approval of him that's what's dragging down Biden Approvals not D's or Indies he has a 76 percent Approvals of all Ds including D's on this Forum only the Rs are making R nut maps and newbie D's, that won't happen, alot of newbies don't post on forum, they only go to Prez 24 and assume Biden Approvals are the end all be all

Solid goes OH, NC and FL still waiting on a IA poll but 55 will just about do it for Speaker Jeffries anyways, Annette Taddis is down by 3 in FL so FL is a swing state and the first states up are FL and NC we will be looking at and then TX as the TEST for red states

D's can't win red states this is the same Biden that win red states in 2008/12, the reason why we didn't win them because Rs overperformed under Trump the unemployment was getting better going down from 9 to 7 percent and it was before the insurrection, also weren't VA, AZ, GA, CO, NV red and Kerry, Gore and Hillary lost them and we won them back because Bill Clinton all but carried VA and NC, he won the rest of them in 1992/96, why did he lose VA, NC because he launched a tobacco lawsuit and VA and NC are tobacco states but Doug Wilder won in VA during Bill era

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I grow tired of users saying that Sherrod Brown is so special that's why he won Strickland won and is a moderate like Ryan, Brown is as liberal as Warren he's a socialist and Strickland and Ryan are Secular pragmatist, if Strickland can win so can Ryan, Strickland won in Appalachian parts of OH and so can Ryan

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Like I said we are within 180 days of an ELECTION D's are gonna be one more partisan not Rs as I predicted when Biden was at 33% Hollywood laughed at me, but white voters care about the Ukraine War more than minorities that's why Ds will struggle in the H until we get results, it's VBM anyways it's gonna be slow results especially OR Gov Johnson or Kotek can win since Ron Wyden is up, OR, CO and WA are ALL VBM

But, the Senate and Govs especially FL and NC as I said many times are the first battlefield states up we can get any results

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I can be wrong but users making R nut maps can be wrong too, I rather be wrong on a D nut map than an R nut map because it's unlikely either party in this Environment is gonna sweep everything


That's why I grossly overpredicted Biden margin but MT Treasure grossly overpredicted Trump margin or Rs margin he has NM and ME going R, Lol

As I said you can't update your map on EDay what's the point of Scoreboard watching for D's in the first two states up FL and NC if I predicted Rs to win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There was a poll on Twitter that has Jones only behind 49/45 vs Sarah Huckabee https://twitter.com/PollingBad2022?t=m5u7HQxJToa6p0t7AQEFqA&s=09

Don't know if it's a real poll

Franken is up 51/43 v Grassley see eventhough Biden Approvals are the same as Obama in 2010, D's enjoy a GCB lead and D's are boasting about keeping the House

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's clearly a 303 blue wall map Eric Lynn is leading Luna in the race he trailed but it's not out of the ordinary for D Govs to be elected with an R state legislature, KY Andy Beshear, Whitmer, Wolf and Evers are all expected to win, every election isn't the same and Crist or Fried as well as longshot Beto or Cunningham no poll in SC Gov, why and Laura Kelly and Katie Hobbs and Stacy Abrams can all be elected with GOP state legislature, as a check

Nan W and Deidre DEJEAR probably won't win but the others can win and I don't know the story on AK Sen but it's a three way

We can improve on our margins from 2020, because the Rs came back on D's before the insurrection that's how we are gonna win the H not with a 303 map but wave insurance

It's not baked into Constitution that's D's can only win 303 or R nut maps we can win between 303/413 too

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I love making wave insurance seats not R nut maps we still have to Vote and ratings said we were supposed to gain seats we lost seats it's a 303 map but every election isn't the same and D's outnumber Rs anyways

A poll showed Huckabee Jones 49/45 but where is the SC Gov or KS Gov poll isn't SC an important Prez state I would love to see a SC Gov poll with McMasters and Cunningham

If you make an R nut map and you are Solid or Xing what happens in FL or NC or OH when you  scoreboard watch and Charlie Crist wins in an upset like I said before Andy Beshear, Evers, Whitmer and Wolf D Govs have been sent to the state Capital with a  2/3rds R state legislature as a check on power😃😃😃

There are provision ballots  statewide 300K that gave Biden, WARNOCK and Ossoff narrow wind in GA, we won 65735 and Military ballots aren't 90/10 it's 65/35 since females are on the ballot

How many votes did Johnson won he won by 300K the exact number of providers ballot and he is trailing Barnes 46/44

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There are so many DOOMERS, Tender isn't on here but what did he say in 2020 stop Dooming, Biden has a 76% Approval among D obviously, he is low among Rs, and what did users do they went right back to DOOM

Wbrooks is the only one that doesn't Doom

What does Sir Muhammad do as soon as he sees a D leading in a Red state poll  for example Ryan leading 43/34 I can see Ryan getting 43 but Vance is at 34 of Crist leading 48/47 I can see Crist at 48 but DeSANTIS is at 47%

The users make the wrong maps I am not saying you should make a D nut map but D's will get to 60 before Rs sweep and win 54 Seats, McConnell said yesterday if Rs take over no new programs, including no Student Loans Discharge,, but he wants to keep taxes at 20% no one says raise it to 35 but 27%

Blue avatars when they predict an R takeover act like they are getting stimulus checks again if Rs take over, lol the rents are exploding and all the wait list are closed for subsidy unless you live with a relative, hotel, YMCA or Group home if you are looking for new housing you are screwed and Rs aren't gonna make things better, there's nothing to celebrate, if Rs appear to win on EDay I will turn it off but I am optimistic

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs thinking it's gonna be a sweep think again, MD can't even process their ballots for two days expect EDay to be like this it's not SANE DAY VOTING

Users got the wrong R nut map

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I say over and over again these are pre Election polls these aren't Exit polls, models said D's were supposed to 2020 gain seats H seats not lose seats and D's lost seats, it's a 303 map the Ceiling is 235/217 for H R and the ceiling and floor for S D is 51/55 so it's more likely we get Divided Govt but before Rs get to 54 seats D's will get 60, it's like a 10% chance we get an all R Govt Congress a 40% chance we get a Secularist Trifecta and a 60% chance we get Divided Govt but only a 10% with a total R Congress a D Prez

That's why I make a wave insurance map the IA poll doesn't prove that it's a red wave Trump won IA by 8 and Reynolds isn't winning by double digits more like 8 it just confirm the 303 map

But, there are gonna be upsets , if Betsy Johnson and  E McMillan are within 4 Beasley can win, Cunningham lost by 0.5 and Biden lost by 1=5 Steve Konraki said WI, PA, NC and FL are Tossups and OH Senate

So even if Pundry has those as Lean R we got it Tossup on the big board

What if my Fav candidate win, I can't update my map on EDay, still no SC or KS Gov poll they are playing games with the polls

I had to put TX back D Beto is only down 5 pts that's not a landslide

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Not looking good for R nut maps, Debbie Wasserman Schultz says FL 13 will be the bellwether of EDay Eric Lynn has caught Luna 45/43 in the last poll if we win FL 13, DeSantis whom Rs think gonna win can lose, he can win either by 8 or lose by 2

As I said before it's a 303 map anyways with wave insurance