KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins (user search)
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  KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins (search mode)
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Author Topic: KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins  (Read 82663 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #50 on: January 14, 2020, 06:38:31 PM »
We havent got much polling from any Senate race except from AZ
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #51 on: January 21, 2020, 03:54:24 PM »
Barb Bollier can beat Marshall as well, but it will be a tossup than LD. DEMS are on the right path to Sen majority AZ, CO, KS, ME, NC
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #52 on: March 30, 2020, 11:58:26 AM »
Kelly has done well in coronavirus and will help Barb Bollier
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #53 on: March 31, 2020, 06:03:21 PM »
Dems are gonna win this race
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #54 on: April 13, 2020, 10:16:40 PM »
I dont know why the absence of polls of KS
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #55 on: April 14, 2020, 10:33:53 AM »
« Edited: April 14, 2020, 10:49:33 AM by Cory Booker »
There aren't any nternal polls so I wonder if Dems are worried about this race, since they have released internal polls on Barry Grissom when he was running.  Absence of polling is stunning
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #56 on: April 18, 2020, 12:14:52 PM »
Barb Bollier is gonna win this seat
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #57 on: April 29, 2020, 05:08:29 AM »
Gary Johnson had the anti Hilary sentiment in 2016, that's why third parties didnt perform good in 2018. He will have little impact
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #58 on: May 09, 2020, 08:50:11 PM »
Pollsters like Sabato and JHK forecast understating Bullock, Harrison and Bollier's chance, just because Dems will net over 50 seats got a pleasant surprise coming in Nov. Those three are outaising their R opponents
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #59 on: May 12, 2020, 01:58:19 PM »
Pompeo isnt running for anything after SOS
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #60 on: May 14, 2020, 10:36:27 AM »
Quote from: here2view on May 14, 2020, 10:24:20 AM
I think Marshall wins the nomination and then beats Bollier by high single digits.

Laura Kelly has a 60 % approval fat chance
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #61 on: May 14, 2020, 10:45:58 AM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on May 14, 2020, 10:44:14 AM
Quote from: here2view on May 14, 2020, 10:24:20 AM
I think Marshall wins the nomination and then beats Bollier by high single digits.

Yeah okay, that's why McConnell is trying to recruit Pompeo if Marshall stood a better chance. Bollier has out raised both Marshall and Kobach
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #62 on: May 14, 2020, 04:12:30 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on May 14, 2020, 04:02:36 PM
Quote from: Cory Booker on May 14, 2020, 10:45:58 AM
Quote from: SnowLabrador on May 14, 2020, 10:44:14 AM
Quote from: here2view on May 14, 2020, 10:24:20 AM
I think Marshall wins the nomination and then beats Bollier by high single digits.

Yeah okay, that's why McConnell is trying to recruit Pompeo if Marshall stood a better chance. Bollier has out raised both Marshall and Kobach
Have you never learned anything from 2014. Roberts was at times behind Orman, yet he comfortable won the Race. Bollier is a goner if Marshall wins the Primary. You prolly Dem can cross KS off the Board.

Have you seen the Iowa poll Ernst is losing, everything isnt about 2016
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #63 on: May 14, 2020, 07:40:03 PM »
I havent seen any poll from ME; whereas, Dems are doing better in KS, AZ, CO, GA, MT than ME, Collins and Murkowski will vote for Biden nominees anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #64 on: May 15, 2020, 05:51:20 AM »
KS is trending more D than IA, they have Laura Kelly and Dem mayor, in coronavirus partisan politics in MT, KS, AZ, NH, VT are left at door and out party can still win; MT, AZ, KS Ds for Gov and Sen and for VT and NH R win for Gov
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #65 on: May 23, 2020, 10:44:06 AM »
Dems are lucky to have Whitmer, Bullock, Laura Kelly and Roy Cooper as Govs, since with their soaring 60 percent approvals, Peter's, Bollier, Bullock and Cunningham will be elected Senators
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #66 on: May 28, 2020, 03:00:21 PM »
Rs probably win this one but Carolinas and Harrison is a new battleground state
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #67 on: May 28, 2020, 05:45:25 PM »
Cook on Chuck Todd show has already put MT and IA and the tossups and ME, NC, AZ and CO in the Lean D category

Dems want to get to 51 not 50 since the 2000 compromise when Cheney broke the tie was a power sharing agreement,  in which McConnell will have sway in a tied Senate on Nominations and Bills
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #68 on: June 02, 2020, 12:54:43 PM »
Poll confirms that the 9 point lead was an outlier,  Marshall is statistically tied with Bollier
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #69 on: June 11, 2020, 03:29:11 PM »
Bollier will win KS as so will Bullock in MT beat disappointing Daines
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #70 on: June 14, 2020, 06:16:01 AM »
« Edited: June 14, 2020, 06:23:19 AM by Cory Booker »
Quote from: Lucas Whitefur on June 14, 2020, 05:59:22 AM
Quote from: SirWoodbury on June 11, 2020, 04:24:44 PM
Imagine if Bollier lost to Tillman.

I wouldn't be too shocked, honestly. Any Republican but Kobach is virtually guaranteed to beat Bollier.

Dont you get it yet, this isnt 2016 anymore, last poll had Marshall tied with Bollier.  It's not a guarentee that Marshall will beat Bollier. Laura Kelly is helping Barb Bollier as Gov and so is Sebelius
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #71 on: June 23, 2020, 08:40:47 AM »
Bollier is statistically tied even with Marshall, D+1
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #72 on: July 05, 2020, 03:02:09 PM »
Marshall is gonna win this just like Tillis, Collins, are moderate enough to win
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #73 on: July 08, 2020, 10:04:20 AM »
Another race which the Rs cant afford to lose. Laura Kelly has a 60 percent approval rating.

Last poll on this race was a tie even with Marshall
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,982
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #74 on: July 15, 2020, 09:52:27 AM »
We havent seen a poll from this race
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