Trump will hold all of his 2016 states? (user search)
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  Trump will hold all of his 2016 states? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: see above
#1
Yes, all of them
 
#2
No, he will lose some of them
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 118

Author Topic: Trump will hold all of his 2016 states?  (Read 3602 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,716
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: August 22, 2018, 11:47:10 AM »

NO
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,716
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2018, 11:58:51 AM »

The House delegation will be aligned so that it protects the 279 friewal and Dems will net some conservative states in the gubernatorial elections in 2018, and 2022 doesn't get any better for the GOP
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,716
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2018, 02:40:18 PM »

Trump is unlikely to win the 279 friewal states and may lose OH,FL and/or AZ, due to the 2018 gubernatorial map, that's tilted against the GOP
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,716
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: August 22, 2018, 08:14:08 PM »

He loses MI, PA 53-47% and loses WI by a smaller 52-48 lead, he won't win the Midwest.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,716
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: August 23, 2018, 10:58:27 AM »

I don't know why the topic keep coming up, saying Trump will win MI,PA and WI, he will lose all three, MI, PA by 53-47% margins and WI by even less and can lose OH,AZ and /or FL due to the gubernatorial map in 2018, being tilted against the GOP. Plus, Dems have a friendly Senate map in NH,MI, VA, CO, NC and KS
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,716
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: August 26, 2018, 02:01:21 PM »

Interestingly enough, no reelected president has carried all of their original states since 1984. I think AZ and MI go Dem, while MN and ME-AL go Republican.

MN will never go GOP and it hasn't since 1984
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