OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7 (user search)
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  OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7  (Read 112312 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #25 on: July 25, 2018, 04:12:46 PM »
It's a GOP seat, this isn't a Democratic seat, otherwise the Early vote would be rising.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #26 on: July 25, 2018, 04:25:59 PM »
I was letting the audience know that, its gerrymandered to reflect GOP voters.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #27 on: July 26, 2018, 09:41:58 AM »
Moves this back to tiLt GOP
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #28 on: July 26, 2018, 09:47:27 AM »
No, they changed the ratings, Cook to tossup
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #29 on: July 26, 2018, 11:07:46 AM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on July 26, 2018, 09:51:09 AM
Quote from: Cory Booker on July 26, 2018, 09:47:27 AM
No, they changed the ratings, Cook to tossup

Cook doesn't have tilt ratings, and tilt ratings are garbage anyway.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings

Cook ratings has OH 12 as a tossup
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #30 on: July 26, 2018, 06:15:07 PM »
Dems don't need this one to control the House anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #31 on: July 27, 2018, 04:57:14 PM »
If he should win, he will have Sherrod Brown' s coattails to run on and an unpopular Mike De Wine.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #32 on: July 27, 2018, 06:44:14 PM »
It won't happen, due to the Sherrod Brown coattails with Cordray and O'Connor.  Likely, not should win, could it happen, yes.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #33 on: July 29, 2018, 12:46:46 AM »
He can, but I think OConnor still wins
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #34 on: July 30, 2018, 03:54:43 PM »
Quote from: Badger on July 30, 2018, 03:09:09 PM
Vice president Pence held a rally for balderson in Newark today.

The missing Veep holds a rally? Dems have plenty of seats to grab hold onto even if they lose this one.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #35 on: July 30, 2018, 07:17:42 PM »
There will be a rematch, in Nov; as a result, OConner and Cordray will ride into office on popular Sherrod Brown's coattails, I wouldnt write off Ohio, for the Dems if its a narrow OConnor loss
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #36 on: July 30, 2018, 07:53:03 PM »
2020 Dems should win OH in a prez race and in 2022, we have the 2018 gubernatorial map for the senate races. It goes downhill from there. Cordray as Gov will have some say so over redistricting
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #37 on: July 30, 2018, 09:19:29 PM »
The Dems only need WI, MI, PA to the EC college. But, with 3 dozen GOP (36) house districts at stake, it makes FL and OH purple states and control of House and Senate at stake
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #38 on: July 30, 2018, 09:54:26 PM »
I was referring to the shifts in early voting and what to expect on election day, Balderson is favored, but dont rule out an OConnor win
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #39 on: July 30, 2018, 11:32:19 PM »
Trump has colluded with the enemy, but voting machines werent hacked. OH-12 is the perfect state to test if Dems are gonna expand that majority
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #40 on: July 31, 2018, 10:02:30 AM »
Probably Balderson +3 47-44
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #41 on: August 01, 2018, 05:45:21 PM »
Dems will win the majority in Congress, but some Democrats and some GOP may go down or be successful because its that sort of mood.  Heller can survive and Laxalt can win, but you can have Dewine going down and Cordray winning in OH, its that sort of year.

But, as election day is moving closer, as expected, Aug, Sept and Oct, partisanship rally toward their base.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #42 on: August 03, 2018, 09:57:39 AM »
There are plenty of seats, as well as this to take House MAJORITY, I wouldnt fret over thos seat, if its a narrow loss; as a result, Nov will be much friendlier, anyways.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #43 on: August 05, 2018, 01:48:56 AM »
Of course, you are predicting, that DeWine, who slightly behind Cordray is gonna win😒
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #44 on: August 05, 2018, 02:52:58 AM »
I evaluate everything, the GOP having to defend so many district seats in territory similar to OH-12, 36 of them is making me reach a conclusion, that the GOP is gonna get swept this Nov in the House, Senate and Gubernatorial election. Also, this is the same Mike DeWine, in 2006, that Sherrod Brown defeat. He's not unbeatable. Also, Trump won OH, in 2016, its still a purple state. Its not IN, alot of GOPers think so
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #45 on: August 06, 2018, 07:03:33 AM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on August 06, 2018, 01:01:29 AM
Oh well, at least Balderson will still be better than Tiberi.

Bagel's 6 point Balderson win isnt happening. If he does win, it will be close, either way😀
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #46 on: August 07, 2018, 03:00:14 AM »
Why shouldnt Dems think about it in Nov? Theres no coattails to run on in the special. Dems need Sherrod Brown's coattails to be competetive. Dems have won every race, except for 2008 with him on ballot: 2006, 2012, lost 2010, 2014 and 2016.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #47 on: August 07, 2018, 08:48:38 PM »
OConner is right where he needs to be to pull off the upset.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #48 on: August 24, 2018, 03:47:26 PM »
O'Connor will take the win in NOV, like I said, DeWine is not very popular and Sherrod Brown is popular, in a GOP leaning district, O'Connor can have Brown's coattails.
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