Influence of Hispanic in 2016 Election is quite exaggerated. (user search)
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  Influence of Hispanic in 2016 Election is quite exaggerated. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Influence of Hispanic in 2016 Election is quite exaggerated.  (Read 3577 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,275
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: December 27, 2015, 07:04:48 AM »

Yes, it will be exaggerated with Dems losing FL, but Ca, CO, NV, NM Clinton wins over Trump or Cruz and Murphy winning FL senate
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,275
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: December 27, 2015, 07:43:09 AM »

Trump isnt gonna win Pa, though.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,275
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: December 27, 2015, 08:05:38 AM »

This map perfectly sums up why it's exaggerated:



R: 269 EV
D: 269 EV (but basically a GOP victory)

That being said, the Republicans can't ignore the Hispanic vote forever. It will be important in many Senate races, in Florida (which is a must-win for the GOP) and other battleground states as well.

You really think GOP will lose Va & win WI with Ron Johnson, who is gonna get Santorumed
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,275
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: December 29, 2015, 12:17:06 AM »
« Edited: December 29, 2015, 12:19:29 AM by OC »

The black movement is gonna matter in Philly and she is gonna take Castro for CO & NV. As for Iowa, she needs college students turnout. That gives you 270/272 for WH.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,275
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: December 30, 2015, 01:05:27 PM »

This is why the Jeb phenomenon swung the election back towards the Dems Jeb could have made a difference in NV, moreso Colorodo, but sticking to Dubya on Iraq was telling and flawed.  And with Trump or Cruz, wont come close to matching Dubya's numbers with Latinos and Jeb could have.  Dubya did win New Mexico.
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