Sabato Update: A Small Senate Battlefield (user search)
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  Sabato Update: A Small Senate Battlefield (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sabato Update: A Small Senate Battlefield  (Read 2577 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,496
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« on: July 24, 2015, 07:38:22 AM »
Not with Hilary, she is gonna cruise in IL. Why would voters reelect Kirk. He called his homestate prez bad in negotiations and want appeasement. Duckworth will win.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,496
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2015, 09:31:28 AM »
Kirk would have been fine, but several things are going against him:

Schneider will win the seat over Dold

Kirk is certainly not standing by Rauner who will be booted from office too, by Bill Daley. And has a 36.5 approval.

He called out a fellow combat vet in Graham.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,496
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #2 on: July 24, 2015, 08:42:45 PM »
She will probably end up winning by 5-6 pts.  
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,496
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2015, 07:16:05 AM »
« Edited: July 25, 2015, 07:17:43 AM by OC »
Lean Dem takeovers are WI, IL, FL. GoP has a very good chance of taking NV.  Then you have Toomey&Portman who are vulnerable. The Dems have 5 targets and GOP have 1 target. Strickland wont go down without a fight. Sestak or McGinty can push Toomey.
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