If the GOP keeps losing, when would a viable replacement party emerge? (user search)
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  If the GOP keeps losing, when would a viable replacement party emerge? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: At which presidential election?
#1
2020
 
#2
2024
 
#3
2028
 
#4
2032
 
#5
2036
 
#6
2040
 
#7
2044
 
#8
After 2044
 
#9
Never would happen
 
#10
The Dems. would be challenged from the left
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 58

Author Topic: If the GOP keeps losing, when would a viable replacement party emerge?  (Read 5627 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,860
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: May 03, 2015, 12:29:02 PM »
« edited: May 03, 2015, 12:34:52 PM by OC »

What a stupid post.

In case you havent noticed the GOP has MORE elected officials at federal, state and local than anytime since the 1920s. It is the Dem party that is deep in minority status. The Dem party is like the GOP during the Ford Administration. They control the WH and nothing else.

When those 3 SCOTUS come about; Kennedy, Ginnsberg, and Scalia; sooner rather than later, the judicial branch will become an arm of the legislative branch and try to do away with everything Scalia and Reagan did during the Revolution.

I guess by 2024, since that will be the end of Clinton-Obama era.

The GOP will have to be patient; and nominate by then, a McCain-Teddy Roosevelt type, Sandoval, Martinez, George P Bush; appeal to Latinos.  Just like the Donkeys did, waiting out the Reagan Revolution, at the end of Dubya Bush years.

Dont feel too bad; aside from House and state legislatures, the GOP controls WallStreet.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,860
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2015, 01:58:12 PM »

The reason for the GOP loss in 2008, was 3 fold. Scandals involving Cheney; Waterboarding and Abu Gharib, Outing CIA agent, and Palin ethics.  Also, the Iraq War; in addition to the economic collapse

Even if there was an economic crisis, all three colamaties of the Bush administration wont be there, and Dems will hold off the GOP. 

But, let the Dems win in 2016 first, and let 2018 and 2020 take care of itself.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,860
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2015, 10:10:42 PM »

First female president is untested. But, in 2016; I expect the economy to make a comeback. It wont be at 0.02 percent.  Unemployment is at an all time low at 5.5 percent. In a rebound year nxt year.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,860
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: May 05, 2015, 03:15:17 PM »
« Edited: May 05, 2015, 03:17:14 PM by OC »

Reagan and Nixon did perfectly well with divided govt. It is so much a problem; that the GOP, not Dems are worried that Obama and Hilary may have to face.

It is only until the end of the decade; and Congress will level off, as bulk of GOP governors are term limited and reapportionment will be back.

Xavier Beracera; not Pelosi wil be next Speaker, after Boehner.

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,860
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: May 07, 2015, 05:51:29 PM »

2016, is gonna be a close; competetive campaign. The economy is growing at 0.2 percent.  I wouldnt be so confident if I were the Dems. They can risk playing it safe like the did in 2014; and Jeb Bush can sneak up, like they did before. In either case, whoever wins the prez, will still have a slow economy to deal with.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,860
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: May 08, 2015, 03:57:17 PM »
« Edited: May 08, 2015, 04:14:32 PM by OC »

I didnt say we secularist will lose; assumption is that Dems will lock up FL and the senate is simply untrue.  The route to the majority in presidential and senate campaigns is lock down NV & PA and IL and WI; and win OH or CO. 290 frewal is alive and well; en route to 272 electors.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,860
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: May 13, 2015, 11:42:34 AM »

What happens in 2018; when the bulk of GOP govs are term limited.  Dems are poised to pick up: IL, MI, NM, ME, MD and keep CO.

Then, in 2020; reapportionment starts all over again.

New Dem govs will include Emily Cain; ME, Lisa Madigan or Bill Daley in IL; and Stephanie Rawlings or Kathline Kennedy-Townsend of MD.

Not to mention; should Kennedy step down from SCoTUS; Loretta Lynch will be named by Hilary to that seat. Kennedy and Ginnsberg should give Clinton 2 more Appointments.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,860
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: May 13, 2015, 03:31:51 PM »
« Edited: May 13, 2015, 03:34:02 PM by OC »

Bill Daley said he wants to run for gov and as for Larry Hogan; Kathlene Kennedy Townsend says she wants to run.  As for ME; Emily Cain will definately win.

If Wolf approvals are low enough; Bob Casey JR will run.

Pa; IL; MD; ME will go Democratic.

I am an optimist, but 2018; I assure you wont be 2014. Obama's approvals were 43 percent. At worst Clinton approvals will be 47-49 percent.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,860
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2015, 09:26:15 AM »

Reguardless; Loretta Lynch should be the nominee; she passed the test of a GOP senate, either by a Clinton or Obama; hopefully for Kennedy's seat, by 2021.

If there is a third term Dem administration, Kennedy will feel pressure to retire.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,860
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #9 on: July 26, 2015, 06:58:42 PM »

The Dem party is the Fed party controlling Prez and Sen and GOP party is the party of the House and state gov.

Its gonna be hard to see that changing. In Israel, the Likud and Kadima party dominates like Dems dominate here.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,860
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #10 on: July 29, 2015, 08:14:22 AM »

Dems have an excellent chance to recapture senate, where the prez states of OH, FL, CO&.NV are up.

But, unfortunately, for the GoP, wallstreet messed up their party's chances and it will take a scandle to get back in.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,860
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #11 on: July 29, 2015, 11:47:53 AM »

Trump; the Reform Party candidate, is leading frontrunner Jeb, who continues to underpoll Clinton.

So if Trump wins nomination, its still the GOP party, but will have an independent leading presidential race.☺
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