MO-SEN: Jason Kander considering

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Nah.  Guy looks fifteen years old.  And if Robin Carnahan, who did the same job for twice as long, and had the family history, lost to Blunt in an open race (albeit in 2010) by over 13 points, then this guy isn't going to do much (or any) better now that Blunt is as an uncontroversial incumbent.

It was 2010, but I see your point.

However, Hilary, who has a good foothold in a state like MIZZ can beat the odds in a conservative state.

No, this isn't a first tier battleground, but should Hilary be the nominee, second tier battlegrounds can become pickups like NH, AZ, MO or a state like GA. This race is very much playable.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Likely Rep I guess

Likely G O P, but top tier is OH,PA, WI, IL and MO will be of course Dems fifth seat pickup after OHIO.

And is a plausability, since Dems can net 4-5 seats.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I also consider this fact, the last time OHIO, PENNSYLVANIA, flipped was in 2006 when MIZZ also flipped, and it may not be much of a presidential battleground, we do have our governor race there.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I have seen few Missouri polls. I'd like to see the approval rating of Blunt...

A recent PPP poll showed an approval rating of 28% for Pat Toomey, Republican Senator from Pennsylvania. I cannot yet tell whether that says anything nationally.

A net gain of 4-5 seats is needed to reestablish control. MO, ILL, WI, Pa, OH, and MIZZ will do it for Dems. Which also flipped in 2006.