NJ-5: Garrett Faces First Well-Funded Challenge with Shulman

[Conan]

http://www.politickernj.com/wallye/21498/blind-rabbi-has-more-money-myers

You must be logged in to read this quote.

The writing in the article isn't the best. I assume Shulman has raised 585k for the quarter? If so, this is the best the district has seen for a Dem. Very pleasant news in the race against an incumbent who out to be representing Utah, more than North Jersey.

Edit: I think it may be total raised, but still better than past challengers.

[Conan]

Scott Garrett is trash, but Shulman, no matter how much money he gets from the Jewish communities in Englewood, Teaneck and Fair Lawn (none of which are actually in NJ-05), stands no chance at ousting him.

Well not this time....but Garrett could be vulnerable soon enough although I hope redistricting puts Sussex, Warren, and Morris into one CD if that's possible. Also, it's not as if this is a super republican district. I think it's R +4-5?

[Conan]

Scott Garrett is trash, but Shulman, no matter how much money he gets from the Jewish communities in Englewood, Teaneck and Fair Lawn (none of which are actually in NJ-05), stands no chance at ousting him.

Well not this time....but Garrett could be vulnerable soon enough although I hope redistricting puts Sussex, Warren, and Morris into one CD if that's possible. Also, it's not as if this is a super republican district. I think it's R +4-5?

While it may not be heavily Republican on the Presidential level (though R +4 is damned Republican for New Jersey), it is solidly Republican on the other levels.  Aside from that tiny bit of the 37th Legislative District that's buried in there, this district isn't even competitive on a State Legislative level.  Nothing but solid red territory.

Yes, that is true. However, there's never been a real challenger with name ID, maybe electoral experience, and money here. Garrett got 55% last time, which isn't great. Redistricting is coming, so there's really no reason to speculate his chance of defeat because it's not gonna happen until redistricting. Also, Dems in other "more republican districts" seem to win them because they were historically democratic....which is not the case here.

[Conan]

http://www.newyorker.com/talk/2008/07/28/080728ta_talk_toobin

Jeffrey Toobin should check his facts. "Like the state, the district has been leaning democratic." Ha.

[Conan]

http://www.newyorker.com/talk/2008/07/28/080728ta_talk_toobin

Jeffrey Toobin should check his facts. "Like the state, the district has been leaning democratic." Ha.

The state does lean Democratic, the district however is very conservative.  Conan are admitting the rabbi dude has no chance?

I am not inclined to believe he can or will win. I've never believed in a democrats chances here in the past either. I wouldn't call the district very conservative though. Sussex and Warren are probably socially conservative economically moderate-conservative while Bergen is mostly fiscally conservative and socially moderate-liberal. Overall I'd say we're fiscal conservative and socially moderate-liberal. Old school republican.

[Conan]

http://www.newyorker.com/talk/2008/07/28/080728ta_talk_toobin

Jeffrey Toobin should check his facts. "Like the state, the district has been leaning democratic." Ha.

It's more a linguistics issue.  It looks like the intended word there was "trending."

Yes but he has a record of this. Half the stuff that comes out of his mouth is wrong.