Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY (user search)
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  Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY (search mode)
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY  (Read 174408 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« on: April 03, 2019, 11:15:27 AM »

It is comical for anyone to regard Wisconsin as "Safe R" based on an election with higher Republican enthusiasm and turnout. I am a firm believer that WI has more Democrats than Republicans, but this election merely reinforced the idea that when Milwaukee and Dane Dems fail to match the Republican enthusiasm and turnout seen across the state, then WI becomes a Lean R state. Contrary to what others think on here, even Dane County could have produced at least 10k more votes to save the Dems.

However, this election does make me fear for 2020 because I just don't trust Milwaukee to turnout even when the DNC gets held there. Thanks, Milwaukee! Now the GOP maintains a majority in the state supreme court, (and even if 2020 goes the other way, they will still maintain the 5-4 lead) this likely means there will be no legal THC for the state, and no meaningful redistricting/anti-gerrymandering reform, and probably zero sound environmental policies probably for at least another decade. We just turned WI backward....AGAIN.

its truly amazing to me how apathetical people are. they complain and whine about how things are but can't get off their butts to vote when it matters. there are more than enough votes in Milwaukee and Dane county to prevent a Republican from winning but too many people are too lazy to walk into a polling place and cast a ballot.

To be completely fair, Dane turnout was fine. In fact, we did amazing in Madison and the counties surrounding it. Milwaukee on the other hand...
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« Reply #1 on: April 13, 2020, 06:03:22 PM »

Neubauer is ahead by 13000 votes with 56% of the precincts in for her Court of Appeals re-election! Absolutely amazing considering her district is absurdly blood red.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2020, 09:18:38 PM »

County updates:

Outagamie (60% in) flips to a 500 vote Karofsky lead.
Portage (<50% in) at an exactly 500 vote Karofsky lead (very aesthetic 4200-3700 tally right now)
Monroe (3 precincts left) is ending up Kelly +4%.

I'm really amazed at how narrow some of these rural margins are for Kelly. Wood +5, Juneau +7, St. Croix +1. Nothing out of Pierce yet but that could easily end up something absurd like Kelly +3 and there's a very outside chance that the Rof could win it.

e: right as I posted Columbia dropped all but two precincts and is Karofsky +16. Her margin is at 95K right now and with so much of Dane out she's easily going to crush 100K.

According to Pierce County's website, this is the result:
Karofsky 4450
Kelly 3623

So about 55.1% Karofsky, which is really good.
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