Political future of former GA House Minority Leader Stacey Abrams (D-Atlanta) (user search)
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  Political future of former GA House Minority Leader Stacey Abrams (D-Atlanta) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Political future of former GA House Minority Leader Stacey Abrams (D-Atlanta)  (Read 2431 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« on: March 05, 2019, 05:24:09 PM »

Hopefully, she runs for Senate. LOL @ the people who think Perdue would gain a ton of ticket splitters just because he's a "Generic R with Suburban Appeal".

I doubt Gwinnett County voters who went Clinton/Abrams/Amico/Bailey/Barrow are going to vote Perdue by any significant amount.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2019, 11:05:48 AM »



As we know, the only Republicans who can POSSIBLY lose badly in the Atlanta suburbs are Kemp and Trump. Look at all the popularity of Generic R!
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2019, 03:40:26 PM »

The notion that David Perdue has any significant suburban appeal is absolutely ridiculous, and you can see it in comparing Romney's performance in the Atlanta burbs in 2012 to Perdue's performance in 2014.

County: 2012 results -- 2014 results (swing)

Gwinnett County: Romney +9.2 -- Perdue +10.4 (R+1.2)
Cobb County: Romney +12.4 -- Perdue +12.8 (R+0.4)
DeKalb County: Obama +56.6 -- Nunn +58.2 (D+1.6)
Douglas County: Obama +4 -- Nunn +5.7 (D+1.7)
Henry County: Romney +3.3 -- Nunn +0.7 (D+4)
Rockdale County: Obama +16.5 -- Nunn +19 (D+2.5)
Fulton County: Obama +29.7 -- Nunn +31.1 (D+1.4)
Clayton County: Obama +70 -- Nunn +69.1 (R+0.9)
Newton County: Obama +2 -- Nunn +2 (D+<0.1)
Cherokee County: Romney +57.5 -- Perdue +55.2 (D+2.3)
Forsyth County: Romney +62.7 -- Perdue +61.3 (D+1.4)

I could add a couple more, but you get the point by now: Perdue is absolutely not a candidate who is particularly strong in the Atlanta suburbs. He did worse than Romney in most of them in 2014, including being the first Republican to lose Henry County in a statewide race that wasn't an absolutely massive Democratic blowout since the 1980s.

Why am I supposed to believe Perdue is strong in these suburbs when he wasn't even particularly strong in 2014, especially when many of these places have had almost obscene Democratic swings since then?
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« Reply #3 on: March 06, 2019, 09:39:29 PM »

I guess 1 in 8 voters having a negative opinion of Kemp but a positive opinion of Perdue in 2019 will have absolutely no impact on voting behavior then!

As we know, a single outlier poll over a year before the election is proof Perdue is an extremely popular unbeatable titan.
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