I can see a McDaniel/Hyde-Smith runoff, but even in that scenario, Espy would doing better than 19%.
Uh, no. This is literally impossible unless you think Espy is going to fall below 33% of the vote. Even that random truck driver running against Bryant got 32%.
Hyde-Smith 33%
McDaniel 33%
Espy 32%
Bartee 2%
I did it, and Espy matched the random truck driver running against Bryant's percentage, which presumably is his floor.
I doubt Mississippi will go 66% Republican barring black turnout being really low, which would make no sense if the two Dems are getting 34%.