ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
Posts: 6,106
Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
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« on: July 06, 2018, 12:58:55 PM » |
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I didn't know whether to put it as Likely D or Lean D, so I went with the cautious option.
I don't buy that it's becoming a Democratic version of early 2000s WV like a lot of people are saying in this thread. WV trended 13.1% Republican between 1996 and 2000 and 3.6% Republican between 2000 and 2004. Also, both years had pretty big swings for Bush in the state.
Colorado actually narrowly swung R in 2016 (albeit trended D because the swing was less than the nationwide GOP swing).
In any case, I find it hard to see Trump winning a state like Colorado. As long as the Republicans keep losing Arapahoe by double digits and Jefferson by mid-to-high single digits, it is very difficult to see a win for them here.
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