Predict the results of the 2022 Gunernatorial elections. (user search)
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  Predict the results of the 2022 Gunernatorial elections. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict the results of the 2022 Gunernatorial elections.  (Read 1452 times)
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« on: June 04, 2019, 08:25:40 AM »

Dem midterm:


Trump midterm:
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 04, 2019, 08:40:02 AM »


Even in a Dem midterm CO will likely stay in democratic hands
Normally it would, but Polis is unpopular.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #2 on: June 08, 2019, 11:17:47 AM »

One thing to note is that only only two or three incumbent governors actually lose during midterm years. In 2018 only Rauner, Walker and Colyler (if you count Kansas) lost. And in 2014 only Pat Quinn and Tom Corbett lost.

Most of the shifts we will see in 2022 is going to be based around the open seats, so keep an eye on Pennsylania, Arizona, Oregon etc.
And Parnell.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2019, 12:17:14 PM »

Changed a couple things.
CO: Polis seems to be more popular than I thought.
NV: See above
AK: Dunleavy is a walking trainwreck
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